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Wintry 1/17/24 coastal?

“Our tools today are generally good enough that if nothing is showing anything, like ever, then there's probably not going to be anything.”

100% and a great lesson for us to remember
I thought Rain Cold was pessimistic enough! ?
 
Problem is, the models never had the coastal, not anything affecting land in the SE in any appreciable way. All we had was a bunch of if/then analysis, which is fine...that's what we're supposed to do.

But this wasn't a case where the models put a big coastal storm together on and off and then lost it for a few runs. There were a few hints of some minor influx of moisture here and there, but that was about it.

Our tools today are generally good enough that if nothing is showing anything, like ever, then there's probably not going to be anything.
Actually the GFS had accumulating snow here a couple of times from it, I believe it was the only model but still
 
We never give up, either go big,, or go,,, for mood Flakes, (which is a win) Coastal's Always "over perform".. chit even graupel is a win..
 
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