Indeed…Looks pretty suspect
View attachment 197085

This dude is either stupid or like us and just can't look away.
I was out of town this week and missed the fun. Apparently was out of power for over 24 hours mid week here according to texts/email from the power company. Saw some leftover downed trees in the area today.15K folks are without power in RDU area.

Didnt relize just how historically active its been in Illinois this year. Already 200 tornadoes there this year and we still have 4 and a half months to go.
This is what we might contend with during the holiday season.
The trough looks interesting indeed … instability be question time makes it here .worth watchingJust seeing if anyone else has noticed the negatively/neutrally tilted trough showing for the southeast 11/4-6 timeframe. Some models have shown some decent energy during passage in the northern Miss/Alabama area. Last European model wasn't nearly as negatively tilted as earlier runs, but still consistently showing CAPE values aren't overly impressive but good enough. Anyone else seeing anything of note? Been a hot minute since I had time to look at models, just happen to look and noticed this an no other comments, so I may have gotten rusty and forgot what I once knew... Anyway thoughts?