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Pattern June’s Drought Dialogues

FallsLake said:
I think RDU's low will be 80 for last night. Currently Fog/Mist at 81 degrees.....🔥:

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If 80 were to be the 24 hour low for today at RDU and GSO, it would tie the all-time high record low for any date for both locations. It would also obliterate the previous high June low for GSO of 77.

However, any thunderstorms today or this evening should easily get it below 80, even if they’re only in the general vicinity and not right at these locations. Also, per RDU:

THE ALL-TIME RDU RECORD WARMEST OVERNIGHT LOW IS 80 DEGREES, AND THERE IS SOME MODEL GUIDANCE THAT IS SUGGESTING TEMPERATURES MAY REMAIN ABOVE THE MARK OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER, EVEN IF
TEMPERATURES DO REMAIN THAT WARM OVERNIGHT, THE CURRENT FORECAST
DOES PREDICT THAT TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY EVENING WOULD LIKELY FALL
BELOW 80 BEFORE MIDNIGHT. EXPECT WIDESPREAD LOWS ONCE AGAIN IN THE
70S.
 
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I'd like a storm today but at this point I'll take an outflow boundary. High convective coverage today seems like it wiggle help zap the heatwave with the upper ridge waning but the mid level temps staying stagnant over turning seems like the best way to back the heat down through Sunday
 
Feel like I can post this every day for the next 89 days.
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Give it time, storms are gonna fire up and will be severe.
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cyclogent said:
Standard precaution for lightning strikes near bodies of water be it the ocean, a lake, a pool, a puddle or whatever is GTFO of the water. 18 people FA'd and FO.. smdh
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And that's why the NWS puts this dire warning on the SVRs and SVSs.
If on or near <insert body of lake name here> lake, get away from the water and move indoors or
inside a vehicle. Remember, lightning can strike out to 15 miles
from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear thunder, you are close
enough to be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter now! Do not
be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.
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And also, NWS provides this strong notice when a storm is expected to wreak havoc across a warned area.
Large hail and/or damaging wind and/or continuous cloud to ground lightning
are occurring with this/these storm/s. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is
one of nature's leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder,
you are close enough to be struck by lightning.
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walked and shot +2 over 12 in my golf league last night. by the time we checked score cards i could barely focus because sweat was still dribbling down my nose and my brain was completely fried. heat was no joke
 
Downeastnc said:
Every once on awhile we get a day like this and it turns real ugly....July 1 2012 for instance.
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KCAE discussion from 634am actually stated they discussed with SPC on a potential enhanced upgrade but SPC wanted to evaluate the mesoscale environment this morning before any such possible upgrades.
DCAPES 1500 to 1750 J/KG is insane.
 
Stormsfury said:
KCAE discussion from 634am actually stated they discussed with SPC on a potential enhanced upgrade but SPC wanted to evaluate the mesoscale environment this morning before any such possible upgrades.
DCAPES 1500 to 1750 J/KG is insane.
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Finding some soundings where DCAPE is getting very close to the sbCAPE values (in the 1700 ballpark!). should get a few beasts today
 
NC State Climate station out on a farm near Goldsboro sitting at 91/84 (HI 117). That 84's probably a bit too high, but not completely unreasonable. KGSB was at 93/79 an hour ago, and JoCo Airport is at 91/81
 
The NC State climate station located at Lake Wheeler about a mile from my house had a temperature of 93 degrees with a dew point of 81 producing a heat index of 113. My wife went on a morning walk around 6:00 AM this morning and came in looking she had taken a shower with her clothes on. Me and the dog were smart enough to stay at the house.
 
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