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Presidential Election 2024

Chattownsnow said:
I know this place is at least has more vocal republican Trump loyalists but I’m telling you I have been on both sides of the aisle and seen polls both showing republicans doing better now and democrats doing better now. And I’m telling you, whether you choose to listen to it or not, Kamala is most likely going to win this. To put it simply, the Trump campaign begged and pleaded voters to come out early and vote and they still mostly under represented themselves in early voting numbers. They should have shown up MUCH stronger. In a lot of places they didn’t even show up any better than they did in 2020. I would be shocked at this point if Kamala loses. You all are again, as always, showing your extreme bias and ignoring the things showing this going very poorly for Trump. Unless something very unexpected happens. Trump loses this fairly easily.
I’ll be referencing this back on Wednesday when you all have to eat crow
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Does this qualify as a melt?
 
Chattownsnow said:
I know this place is at least has more vocal republican Trump loyalists but I’m telling you I have been on both sides of the aisle and seen polls both showing republicans doing better now and democrats doing better now. And I’m telling you, whether you choose to listen to it or not, Kamala is most likely going to win this. To put it simply, the Trump campaign begged and pleaded voters to come out early and vote and they still mostly under represented themselves in early voting numbers. They should have shown up MUCH stronger. In a lot of places they didn’t even show up any better than they did in 2020. I would be shocked at this point if Kamala loses. You all are again, as always, showing your extreme bias and ignoring the things showing this going very poorly for Trump. Unless something very unexpected happens. Trump loses this fairly easily.
I’ll be referencing this back on Wednesday when you all have to eat crow
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They will show much stronger than Democrats in a few hours.
 
Arcc said:
Pretty much a whole bunch of emotional nonsense. Kamala definitely can win the election, but the trend is clear, much less democrat early votes vs same or more GOP early votes.
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I mean that’s not the consensus and interpretation I’m seeing from professional polling analysts, who do this for their jobs. It’s true that over-all republicans are showing up more than they did in the past, however are not showing up in numbers early that was hoped for given the investment in getting them to show up. We will know soon enough but I’m feeling very comfortable in a Kamala win but suprises do happen 🤷🏻‍♂️
 
Arcc said:
Pretty much a whole bunch of emotional nonsense. Kamala definitely can win the election, but the trend is clear, much less democrat early votes vs same or more GOP early votes.
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Well I guess I could also say you are basing this on emotional nonsense by saying the trend is clear because I’m not seeing that at all in the data I’m seeing
 
Chattownsnow said:
Well I guess I could also say you are basing this on emotional nonsense by saying the trend is clear because I’m not seeing that at all in the data I’m seeing
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Yes democrats aren’t showing up early as much and republicans are showing up more early, but other data points to trouble for Trump that makes up for this one point. Especially when you look at how much money and time was spent in getting republicans to vote early, they aren’t as much as was expected given this investment
 
Same thing happened last election cycle. Trump
was a heavy favorite on Election Day and his odds increased two-fold into the evening. When we woke up the next morning the fix was in and the odds had done a 180. There is something out there that even the best Vegas algorithms can’t sniff out.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Same thing happened last election cycle. Trump
was a heavy favorite on Election Day and his odds increased two-fold into the evening. When we woke up the next morning the fix was in and the odds had done a 180. There is something out there that even the best Vegas algorithms can’t sniff out.
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Georgia said we should have an idea by 8pm. Said they will be much faster this time around.

I remember back to the water pipe burst excuse when Trump was leading and then magically over night whoopsie.
 
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