Bigedd09
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Pattern Ninovember
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
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Rain quickly to heavy wet snow on the Bigdd09 storm
Classic autumn day - Windy and cool with mostly cloudy skies and leaves in the air.
Walking around in this stiff fall breeze today 
Looking bone dry in SC/NC through the 20th on the latest WPC charts. We have a real shot at our driest year ever recorded locally if this magic El Niño rain doesn't materialize. The record from 1954 is 27.77".
NoSnowATL
Member
Avalanche
Member
Love the low base cumulostratus clouds
Freeze Watch for overnight Fri for parts of MS, most of AL, NW GA, parts of NC/VA.
WWA (!) in mtns TN side of NC border.
WWA (!) in mtns TN side of NC border.
dsaur
Member
That's a great shot!
Brent
Member
Oh?
My 30ft flagpole tree up in time for the first kiss of cold air 
First of how many kisses about 7?
John1122
Member
Fantasy land but a similar evolution to what the Euro popped a few days ago.
Euro with bomb that would end the SE drought! 
Start the thread
Thanksgiving snow
Thanksgiving snow
The Ops /cfs all continue to advertise a onslaught of seaboard runners starting last week of month and coming every 3-4 days. I have been watching the cfs both runs each day all the way out for over a week now. The theme never changes/ continues to double down. Now that the Global ops can get all the way out through last week of month. They have joined the chorus,
Obviously you cant pin any hopes on certain details. But the theme being advertised is strong. The vibe Im getting watching the rythym of the cfs is that we see a lakes cutter low in about 8-10 days. Then the onslaught starts, each one working its way futher east. Apps runners, Then inland runners up the piedmont/coastal plain, then finally we catch one hugging the coast. The latest run last night , I lost count of these sw-ne moving lows. If we can continue to get the stretched PV/ AO/NAO party to cooperate, we just might luck into something sooner than we thought we could.
This a.m.
Obviously you cant pin any hopes on certain details. But the theme being advertised is strong. The vibe Im getting watching the rythym of the cfs is that we see a lakes cutter low in about 8-10 days. Then the onslaught starts, each one working its way futher east. Apps runners, Then inland runners up the piedmont/coastal plain, then finally we catch one hugging the coast. The latest run last night , I lost count of these sw-ne moving lows. If we can continue to get the stretched PV/ AO/NAO party to cooperate, we just might luck into something sooner than we thought we could.
This a.m.
If you really think about it, we don't often see runs like this one this early... It's pretty wild. Not validating that it'll happen, but it's just really cool to see IMO.
What a treat that would be
The first half of December might be very interesting. If the pattern NCSnow mentioned materializes with the coastal lows coming one after another and the cold air gets locked in place with a strong high pressure source over New England, we might be seeing some wintry weather action during the first days of December if not before that. Even if we don't get the winter weather we love so much, at least this would help out with the drought. Bring it on!
All of the major ensembles pop a sharp PNA ridge Thanksgiving week. The cold air supply is marginal across N. America, as it will take some time to chill Canada and lay down some snow cover, but I like this look anyway.
Downeastnc
Member
White Thanksgiving? Never had that one before....though I have seen snow as early as Nov 11th here....
In an earlier post I mentioned that during the recorded weather history at RDU, there has only been accumulating snow reported one time on Thanksgiving Day. On November 28, 1912, 3.1 inches of snow fell in Raleigh with some areas to the north and east of the Triangle reporting totals of four to five inches. It's not impossible but I wouldn't bet on it.
Forecast looks jumping towards the end of the month, so hopefully it starts jumpin' in here.
Todays' NWSF event cameras and just up the road from me on the Parkway from Brevard the Pisgah inn is getting snow
Todays' NWSF event cameras and just up the road from me on the Parkway from Brevard the Pisgah inn is getting snow
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thats a crazy look. Get that 60 days from now and the gulf coast is digging out again 
Looks like a potential severe setup more than snow/ice.
Beautiful up here in Blowing Rock today!
GFS 
Bigedd09
Member
Snow breaking out in central Texas day before thanksgiving on 12z GFS
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Snow breaking out in central Texas day before thanksgiving on 12z GFS
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Tried to do something but failed
You will never get a winter storm in the Southeast when HP crashes into the TN Valley then off the coast with a wave on the backside.
Bigedd09
Member
Then there’s the AIGFS
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Bigedd09
Member
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Really starting to feel that bite blow in off the mountain now
Sugar Mountain 
(not my photo)
(not my photo)
Time
Sensitive 3pm EDT
6040 feet (black Balsam and Tennent)
28F
Sensitive 3pm EDT
6040 feet (black Balsam and Tennent)
28F
Time
Sensitive 3pm EDT
6040 feet (black Balsam and Tennent)
28F
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Really coming down on top of Ober mountain in Gatlinburg.
My son and I were fishing in GSMNP earlier and I managed to catch a brook trout with flakes falling for the first time. Just a cold rain down in Gatlinburg.
Ripping on sugar webcam..best time of the year