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Pattern NC Only Thread

Better score over next 36 hrs or you will be waiting another 15 days plus per the models.

Nervous Im gonna get the shaft by the skin of my teeth as the front slow crawls centimeters to my east before it can get fired up again. Ole GFS is insistent on getting sub 534 thickness in here late next week. Other guidance is chilly but doesnt drive the 530 thickness quite this far south. But they all continue to advertise the ole doughnut hole/ minus the stripe of qpf that will reward a few through NC today/Fri.

Todays good news is the CFS is consistently continuing to advertise we just have to hang in there till the last week of November. Then its on bigggggly. Latest run whips up 2 huge Noreasters with plenty of qpf and frozen. Not to mention Cold to boot keeping us BN continously out through Dec 7th and probably more to come. Was a great entertaing loop to watch surface map wise if you need a littlle pick me up this a.m.

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Wouldn't be surprised to see a tornado along and east of 95 tomorrow. Might be able to squeeze out enough instability with some local backing. Setup does look good for a few wind reports along and east of US1
 
Here on the Coast...

Well yesterday (Nov 6th) didn't quite pan out here around Topsail & Surf City/Holly Ridge--> Jacksonville areas..

We received about , .43 inches of precip.. Mostly light Rain/Mist..

Enough too settle the Dirt & Dust real good that's about the extent of Precip We got down this way..
Lil less than What @Shaggy & @Avalanche & @lexxnchloe received..

I started noticing yesterday, yesterday the (Mature), Pine trees are extremely Stressed due too the on-going drought, the "Tips" of branches are green, while the lower 2/3rds of corresponding branches are turning brown w/dead pine needles.. It's starting too be quite "noticeable", especially with Cypress trees etc, they are (almost) 75% brown & dying.. The "pond" up the street is about 90% dried up..

We really need a good/long 2~3 day rain storm here in these parts.. Too even start making up for the months long deficit..

Current conditions,
Heavy fog this morning, Rain/ mist(s) clearing..
60°

Feels like 60°
NNW 7 mph
Gusts 15 mph
Humidity 93%
Pressure 30.19 in
Dew Point 58°
Rain Today 0.01" (overnight)
 
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SENC said:
Here on the Coast...

Well yesterday (Nov 6th) didn't quite pan out here around Topsail & Surf City/Holly Ridge--> Jacksonville areas..

We received about , .43 inches of precip.. Mostly light Rain/Mist..

Enough too settle the Dirt & Dust real good that's about the extent of Precip We got down this way..
Lil less than What @Shaggy & @Avalanche & @lexxnchloe received..

I started noticing yesterday, yesterday the (Mature), Pine trees are extremely Stressed due too the on-going drought, the "Tips" of branches are green, while the lower 2/3rds of corresponding branches are turning brown w/dead pine needles.. It's starting too be quite "noticeable", especially with Cypress trees etc, they are (almost) 75% brown & dying.. The "pond" up the street is about 90% dried up..

We really need a good/long 2~3 day rain storm here in these parts.. Too even start making up for the months long deficit..

Current conditions,
Heavy fog this morning, Rain/ mist(s) clearing..
60°

Feels like 60°
NNW 7 mph
Gusts 15 mph
Humidity 93%
Pressure 30.19 in
Dew Point 58°
Rain Today 0.01" (overnight)
Click to expand...
Too much rain. I like dry and less humidity.
 
Only wx Highlight on the horizon is we get some sub 528 thickness overhead Saturday. Not a bad weekend to take a field trip up to NW NC and catch a good upslope event. Saturday a.m.should be prime time.

And The Doughnut Hole woes continue all the way out through hour 360 on the ops.
 
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