Some pretty good similarities at 250mb to Hurricane Zeta of 2020. Quite a bit different at 500mb though.
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Tropical 92L
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
NoSnowATL
Member
AI vs OP
Carolina Fever
Member
Guess my hurricane lily sprouting this week was on time.
Uhhhhhhhh. 64% of DeepMind ensembles have Cat 3+
weatherboyy
Member
I don't think the storm is going there for East I think it's going to make landfall between New Orleans and Bay St Louis Mississippi imo.
NoSnowATL
Member
It did shift east on the latest runs but I think the mouth of the Mississippi is a good spot. I don’t see it going west of New Orleans or east of Destin Fl.
Seems like DeepMind has been pretty consistent clustering on that FL panhandle track, while OPs have been noticeably towards MS/LA.
Here is the Google MSLP's. You can see they depict significant weakening on approach to landfall. The peak is well offshore
accu35
Member
Still hurricane at landfall tho
For sure. But just pointing out this could be different compared to recent years where it's felt like every single Hurricane just RI's right up to landfall
Euro AI ensembles are really clustered on the Pensacola area. Looks like the biggest disagreement is how fast it takes the NW turn.
Probably getting a peek into the NHC thinking here with this map from the WPC. First NHC cone will probably have landfall around Mobile, AL
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Brent
Member
NHC will initiate advisories on Tropical Depression Nine (formerly AL92), located in the southwest Gulf of America, at 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC).
Gonna definitely be breezy.
