Regulators! Mount up
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Pattern Octorchber
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
there's rumblings of the first honest to goodness northwesterly winds cold front out there in the first 7 days of Octorch
way too much agreement on the models has to be totally wrong
SnowNiner
Member
It was a clear black night, a clear white moon
Warren G was on the streets, tryin' to consume
Some skirts for the eve, so I can get some phones
Rollin' in my ride, chillin' all alone
Carolina Fever
Member
October begins the best three months of the year with my birthday, Halloween, Thanksgiving and Christmas.
remember that year it snowed 5-6” in Columbus on 10/31-11/1
Those were the days!
I’m starting Oct on a moist note:
Those were the days!
I’m starting Oct on a moist note:
Brent
Member
What a start to October showing up. I will say though there is hints that the Pacific hurricanes actually get involved in the pattern. This happened during the last super El Nino out here too. That's the one thing I'm more curious about right now
I don't necessarily believe the Atlantic does much. Have we seen the Atlantic this year
I don't necessarily believe the Atlantic does much. Have we seen the Atlantic this year
lexxnchloe
Member
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Looks like the possible fall front in October is going to have to battle the SE ridge at least going on the temp map hah. Hopefully it wins.
I know I saw someone in the other thread say that forecasting has been terrible lately, well, the Nor'easter pumping cooler air seems pretty decided this week. It's after next week that seems undecided.
I know I saw someone in the other thread say that forecasting has been terrible lately, well, the Nor'easter pumping cooler air seems pretty decided this week. It's after next week that seems undecided.
tennessee storm
Member
Yep. It’s not a slam dunk at this point makes it
Interaction between the ull and pac cane probably helps enhance the SER, it would be there either way though. Good thing we don't have something in the Caribbean it would be a rocket to the gulf coast, the first trough probably hangs against the SER in the extended but we should see a deeper cool dump afterwards.
Models have a bunch of recurves across the pacific in the next 2 weeks. Probably going to get some wild run to run changes and some super amplified runs. Enjoy
tennessee storm
Member
Severe weather could be getting active for the South Midsouth
Folks like Brent, Mack, the guy in IL, the guy in Shreveport, the N MS/N AL crowd, and the TN folks are sitting pretty if you like cool the week of 10/5-11 when looking at this very non-bleak week! Is this beautiful or what?!
I'll take this, down here near NOLA!
Brent
Member
Yeah this is gonna mess with the models for sure 
At least it looks like Something Will Happen in early-ish October whereas 67% of September was boring hellscape
97,82,15 are probably my favorite analogs right now, all 3 were fun Octobers with heat, cool, frost potential, decent to high precip events.
tennessee storm
Member
October is usually driest month of the year. . We see
Mother nature moved it to September this year.
tennessee storm
Member
Wish work like that lol
It's possible for us, strong ninos composite out BN but the strongest of the ninos do come out about 1 inch AN
I really hope the GFS and CMC are on the money with the pattern change around the first weekend of October. I'm so ready for cool, crisp mornings and breathtakingly refreshing days with dry air and northerly breezes.
NBAcentel
Member
That’s a pretty impressive trend to a strongly +PNA in early Oct. Ai guidance is really liking that WCAN ridge. To bad it ain’t wintertime could maybe walk away with a Manitoba mauler or Ontario onslaught if you shortened this up some more 
Until a pattern change can arrive, we should enjoy the comfortable temperatures we will experience in North Carolina this weekend. We go back into the oven with highs around 90 degrees for the later part of next week. Ninety degree weather in October sucks, to put it bluntly.
Brent
Member
Yeah I'm gonna say the Polo interaction is probably gonna be a severe weather setup around here 
Gotta love a recurring typhoon or two.
Fall, is that you playa
Combine that with a little frozen meteor smoke and we may be in business
Yoink
Brent
Member
Maybe Polo or whatever the Pacific is doing is gonna usher in fall?
tennessee storm
Member
But it’s accuwesther lol
It’s still looking to avg a nice +PNA with cool/warm in the E 1/2/W of the U.S. Oct 5-11th with this largely due to 1-2 recurving typhoons apparently.
Brent
Member
The super El Nino or pattern change whatever you want to call it is definitely starting to be felt here
Storms around for the 2nd morning in a row and this isn't even the big event yet. That's mostly Wednesday and Thursday
Storms around for the 2nd morning in a row and this isn't even the big event yet. That's mostly Wednesday and Thursday
howboutthemdawgs
Member
90’s again wed-Fri. But if it brings the first measurable rain in over a month I’ll deal with it
80s in my forecast on NWS, starting next Saturday, finally. It's been perpetually 90-100 for the last 4-5 months, it seems like. Granted, this lower temp is from the rain from the moisture from Polo and the weak front edging slowly forward, but if the models are right, then this is the beginning of the pattern change and the switch to more authentic fall weather.
Tank top or sweatshirt in Charlotte for Sunday night football next weekend?
