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Pattern July Fry

This system has been very hit or miss it seems.
 
This system has been very hit or miss it seems.
We got hit several times yesterday with probably a couple of inches (ants ate my Tempest again). About 5:30 we had a lighting strike hit the house or so near the house it tripped the GFIs on my covered back porch. I provide power via that GFI to the local internet provider (and get free internet) so I wouldn't have known until the kids complained. I'm just glad it didn't burn anything up.
 
I wish I could find a precip totals map for the last week. I bet it would show 99% of both Carolinas with 1-2 inch plus totals with one little area with less than .25 right where I am.
This is a hard product to find.
 
I wish I could find a precip totals map for the last week. I bet it would show 99% of both Carolinas with 1-2 inch plus totals with one little area with less than .25 right where I am.

Not at all. It's been relatively scattered in coverage. Lots of places have gotten it day after day and lots have seen less than a tenth.
 
There were some flash food warnings out last night in the upper catchment areas of the Lumber & Little Pee Dee rivers so if we're lucky we can hold off on more draconian water restrictions. Both rivers have been effectively ankle deep since Memorial Day.
 
We got hit several times yesterday with probably a couple of inches (ants ate my Tempest again). About 5:30 we had a lighting strike hit the house or so near the house it tripped the GFIs on my covered back porch. I provide power via that GFI to the local internet provider (and get free internet) so I wouldn't have known until the kids complained. I'm just glad it didn't burn anything up.


I've had mostly sunny until today, maybe a brief .1 or .2 here and there, but major storms close by.
 
Some just popped thunderstorms in my area at 4PM moving slowly W.

CTG lightning strike very close!
 
Some just popped thunderstorms in my area at 4PM moving slowly W.

CTG lightning strike very close!

Follow-up: We are getting hit hard with very heavy rain in much of the SAV area. I’ve already had ~1.5” and it is still pouring. This will really test my recent drainage projects! As a result:

CHATHAM GA-
422 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2026

..FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON

* WHAT...FLOODING CAUSED BY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

* WHERE...CHATHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...

* WHEN...UNTIL 545 PM EDT.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING IN LOW-LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- AT 417 PM EDT, DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO SLOW
MOVING THUNDERSTORMS. BASED ON RADAR TRENDS, AREAS OF CHATHAM
COUNTY, INCLUDING THE CITY OF SAVANNAH, IS EXPECTED TO SEE
BETWEEN 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES THROUGH THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON. THE
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO A FEW ROADS TO DEVELOP DEEP PONDING OF
WATER OR ROADWAY FLOODING.
- SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
POOLER, HUNTER ARMY AIRFIELD, DOWNTOWN SAVANNAH, WINDSOR FOREST,
I-16/I-95 INTERCHANGE, MIDTOWN SAVANNAH, HUTCHINSON ISLAND,
SAVANNAH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, COFFEE BLUFF AND GODLEY STATION.
 
I wish I could find a precip totals map for the last week. I bet it would show 99% of both Carolinas with 1-2 inch plus totals with one little area with less than .25 right where I am.
When did you move to Iowa?? Currently 92, feels like 97 🥵 IMG_5950.jpeg
 
I’ve exceeded 2” over the last hour, heaviest hourly rate of the summer so far, but it’s lightened up quite a bit although it hasn’t stopped. Drainage projects areas have both held up well so far and the street isn’t as bad as it had been before the nearby ditch was redug.

Follow-up for SAV area flooding:

455 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2026

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
BRYAN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...
CHATHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...

* UNTIL 800 PM EDT.

* AT 455 PM EDT, DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2.5 INCHES OF
RAIN HAVE FALLEN. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. FLASH FLOODING IS ONGOING OR EXPECTED
TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

HAZARD...FLASH FLOODING CAUSED BY THUNDERSTORMS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS, URBAN AREAS,
HIGHWAYS, STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR
DRAINAGE AND LOW-LYING AREAS.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...
POOLER, RICHMOND HILL, WINDSOR FOREST, HUNTER ARMY AIRFIELD, COFFEE
BLUFF, MIDTOWN SAVANNAH, DOWNTOWN SAVANNAH, I-16/I-95 INTERCHANGE,
HUTCHINSON ISLAND AND MONTGOMERY.

—————
*Edit: I ended up with ~2.15”.
 
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13 inches here in the last 6 weeks... And that's just at the airport. There's been way more than that in some areas

Crazy

And Texas may have historic flooding again

Middle of July.. it's been over 110 degrees with no end in sight by now some years
 
Relentless @Brent ridge on the 12z euro

Knew it was coming eventually but I mean it's been way too easy this summer and we're behind most years on 100s already

I still don't think the moisture completely shuts off though for long. The signals are everywhere about this super Nino. The Texas group is already counting down to when the Pacific hurricanes start recurving
 
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We've had less than 10" worth of rain so far this year. We need every drop we can get.
YOU HEARD IT HERE FIRST:

SD Bermuda Lawn will record 10.0+ double digit rainfall for the month of July 2026. Beleive he is sitting at 5.5 ish. He's gonna get 2-3 by this time next week. How? Rogue T storm over the weekend and the NE Gulf Gyro is gonna cough up another 1-2 from various dynamics next week.
Then all my forecasted call has to do to verify is get him under a strong T storm the last 5-6 days of July and whala!
 
It keeps inching west. Can the trend continue? View attachment 196843
The NWS in Raleigh mentioned the trend you are referring to in their forecast discussion this morning. Let's see if we can keep pushing those heavier precipitation totals further west.
 
YOU HEARD IT HERE FIRST:

SD Bermuda Lawn will record 10.0+ double digit rainfall for the month of July 2026. Beleive he is sitting at 5.5 ish. He's gonna get 2-3 by this time next week. How? Rogue T storm over the weekend and the NE Gulf Gyro is gonna cough up another 1-2 from various dynamics next week.
Then all my forecasted call has to do to verify is get him under a strong T storm the last 5-6 days of July and whala!
I need more forecasts like this in my life
 
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