All said on Feb 26 before the war started and 100% accurate
People are scared of making predictions, but I'll say it.Trump doesn't want regime change in Iran, and he simply doesn't have the stomach for a protracted conflict.According to Steve Witkoff, Trump exclaimed, "I don't understand why they haven't capitulated yet." And here's the main issue: Trump just likes everything quick. Bombing the regime until it falls would take weeks, if not months.While the regime doesn't really have strong cards to play, they know this: there won't be a ground invasion of any kind, and we all know the chances of the regime falling from an air campaign alone are low.And let's be honest, what's the plan? Arming protesters while the regime is being bombed? Are the protesters supposed to topple the regime with rifles against tanks?It might work, but the chances are pretty slim.The bottom line is that the regime is willing to endure a bombing campaign rather than agree to Trump's terms, and they also know that time is on their side.Just to be clear, of course I support a bombing campaign—it will significantly weaken the regime, and even a small chance of it falling is worth it.As much as I support Trump, the fact remains that playing the long game is not his thing. I just hope he won't stop the Israelis from finishing the job.