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Pattern May 2026

KSAV (airport) had a record breaking low of 46 this morning. It was colder than all of the model progs, which were 49 to low 50s. The 46 is the second coldest low since March 21st!

Also for KSAV, that’s the 4th record low within the last 12 months:

11/11/2025, 2/1/2026, 3/18/26, and 5/3/26

6/27/2012 through 5/14/2013 appears to be the last time for that to have occurred.

As the dates show, KSAV has had 4 record lows within just the last 6 months! The last time there were 4 record lows within 6 months: 6/6/2005-7/11/2006. There were a whopping 6 during 5/23/2006-7/11/2006!

Considering the warming globe, that’s getting more and more difficult and is thus quite notable. To put the GW related handicap into perspective, there have been 9 record highs during this same period that there were 4 record lows.

Hunter (KSVN) had a low of 47.

Today and tomorrow will be very pleasant for early May with forecasted highs in the mid to upper 70s and dewpoints of mainly 45-52.
 
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256wx said:
I don't know how to easily access the data, but if memory serves correctly 1983 was a pretty good winter for most of the SE.
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1. It like other very strong El Niños had AN to well AN rainfall amounts in much of the SE, which if repeated would be great news for the SE drought:

IMG_0328.png

2. There was a historic very heavy wet snowstorm in the SE US on 3/24/1983 stretching from EC AL to NE NC! CLT got 10.3”, GSP got 9.3”,and RDU got 7.3” AHN got 8.7” and ATL got 7.9”, their heaviest snowstorm since Jan of 1940. That even gave Savannah a trace of sleet! ATL also had its snowiest winter (10.3”) since 1939-40 (another El Niño by the way):

IMG_0330.jpeg

3. Historic very late freezes RDU/GSO 4/17-21, ATL 4/19-20, and 1.8” of snow RDU on 4/18-9!
 
GaWx said:
1. It like other very strong El Niños had AN to well AN rainfall amounts in much of the SE, which if repeated would be great news for the SE drought:

View attachment 195786

2. There was a historic very heavy wet snowstorm in the SE US on 3/24/1983 stretching from EC AL to NE NC! CLT got 10.3”, GSP got 9.3”,and RDU got 7.3” AHN got 8.7” and ATL got 7.9”, their heaviest snowstorm since Jan of 1940. That even gave Savannah a trace of sleet! ATL also had its snowiest winter (10.3”) since 1939-40 (another El Niño by the way):

View attachment 195787

3. Historic very late freezes RDU/GSO 4/17-21, ATL 4/19-20, and 1.8” of snow RDU on 4/18-9!
Click to expand...
Exactly what I was looking for. Thank you! Hopefully bodes well for the winter to come.
 
GaWx said:
1. It like other very strong El Niños had AN to well AN rainfall amounts in much of the SE, which if repeated would be great news for the SE drought:

View attachment 195786

2. There was a historic very heavy wet snowstorm in the SE US on 3/24/1983 stretching from EC AL to NE NC! CLT got 10.3”, GSP got 9.3”,and RDU got 7.3” AHN got 8.7” and ATL got 7.9”, their heaviest snowstorm since Jan of 1940. That even gave Savannah a trace of sleet! ATL also had its snowiest winter (10.3”) since 1939-40 (another El Niño by the way):

View attachment 195787

3. Historic very late freezes RDU/GSO 4/17-21, ATL 4/19-20, and 1.8” of snow RDU on 4/18-9!
Click to expand...

I got pics of that snowstorm somewhere...had 6-8" here.
 
More subpolar filth, with to back days of frigid cold mornings across the board, with 43°F at the airport this morning. Please get this month over with already, it'll be a miracle if it reaches even 80°F at this point
 
The biggest hail I've ever seen with a thunderstorm was tennis ball sized back during a thunderstorm near Auburn, N.C. which is close to where the WRAL TV towers are located back in the late 1970s. It's also the closest I've ever came to being struck with lightning. I was on the front porch of the old farm house I used to live in and a bolt struck a pecan tree in the front yard about ten yards away. About a second before the bolt hit my skin started tingling and then I saw a bright flash of light and heard the loudest boom I've ever heard in my life. My ears were ringing for a day afterwards. When I recovered from the shock of what happened, I could see a new scar on the top of the pecan tree that had never been there before.

I read a newspaper account about my 2nd paternal great grandfather who was struck by lightning in his house during a thunderstorm in Elm City, North Carolina on July 4th, 1900. He was sitting in his favorite chair during a storm and a bolt shot through the roof, knocking him out of his chair and unconscious at the same time. He survived and lived thirty more years afterward. My grandfather learned a lesson from that episode. His house had the most lightning rods I have ever seen.
 
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weather bubba said:
The biggest hail I've ever seen with a thunderstorm was tennis ball sized back during a thunderstorm near Auburn, N.C. which is close to where the WRAL TV towers are located back in the late 1970s. It's also the closest I've ever came to being struck with lightning. I was on the front porch of the old farm house I used to live in and a bolt struck a pecan tree in the front yard about ten yards away. About a second before the bolt hit my skin started tingling and then I saw a bright flash of light and heard the loudest boom I've ever heard in my life. My ears were ringing for a day afterwards. When I recovered from the shock of what happened, I could see a new scar on the top of the pecan tree that had never been there before.

I read a newspaper account about my 2nd paternal great grandfather who was struck by lightning in his house during a thunderstorm in Elm City, North Carolina on July 4th, 1900. He was sitting in his favorite chair during a storm and a bolt shot through the roof, knocking him out of his chair and unconscious at the same time. He survived and lived thirty more years afterward. My grandfather learned a lesson from that episode. His house had the most lightning rods I have ever seen.
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10 yards away is way too close. You were very fortunate.

I got within 30 yards of a strike once outside. Was in a covered outside walkway—probably early 2000’s in Thomasville, NC. My experience very similar to yours. Didn’t see the bolt—but the whole world lit up in the bright flash. That clicking sound they talk about is legit a second before it hits. Ringing didn’t stop till early the next morning. Course I didn’t know how close until the next day. (it was a pine tree with bark taken off on one side.)
 
JHS said:
Well Thursday's event is slowly drying up. We are going to have to wait until September at the earliest for any real relief, I think.
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The only thing that can save the SE is a land falling hurricane! No rain until October!
 
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