Avalanche
Member
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Pattern April Oven
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Avalanche
Member
Water is so cold and air is so warm it seems seabreeze should produce some 
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La Nina is over. Thank goodness. Will take the atmosphere time to move on.
Is it time for the ultra mega super volcano nino that's going to evaporate the pacific waters
Shane, is SouthernWx still sponsoring a cruise for members to drop a whole bunch of ice on the Maritime Continent to reduce time that the MJO spends in phases 4 and 5? If so, can you arrange for the boat to take a side trip to Nino 3.4 so that that area can also be cooled? We’ll need a lot of ice though.
Venture to say the skies are healing?
Ill be honest I'm still not down on this winter. Maybe I'm not looking at it correctly. I feel like that's where your post was going
Only producing Dust Devils, In all My 60 years Living here (exception of Early 1986), I've not seen it this dry..Water is so cold and air is so warm it seems seabreeze should produce some
Brent
Member
So the tornado sirens were utterly useless last night. We would have been dead already if that tornado had been stronger! /s
88 today. record is 91
BAM
Tsappfrog20
Member
We NEED Rain NOT Snow!
Shaggy
Member
I was on a charter.last weekend out in town creek and a dust devil moved off the marsh over the water. Perfect swirl on the water and a gust into the 30s as it hit the boat. One cool nerdy experience
Natgas, corn belt,I haven't seen that product before. I might show it tomorrow and give you credit
That would just produce coastal fog. This basically sums up the Southern California climate, especially in summerWater is so cold and air is so warm it seems seabreeze should produce some
Ask the Meteorologist: What are the chances of our drought ending anytime soon?
With water use restrictions now in place for the city of Raleigh and little rain in sight, the drought conditions across our area have been top of mind. Let's look at how much rain we would need within the next month to end our drought and our chances of the drought ending.
www.wral.com
This sums up where we are at concerning the lack of precipitation over the past several months well. Hopefully what some of the models are showing for late April will change the situation some.
I'm sorry but the % chance of the drought ending graphic is lol to me. There's getting more into % based forecasting then there is overkill like thisAsk the Meteorologist: What are the chances of our drought ending anytime soon?
With water use restrictions now in place for the city of Raleigh and little rain in sight, the drought conditions across our area have been top of mind. Let's look at how much rain we would need within the next month to end our drought and our chances of the drought ending.
This sums up where we are at concerning the lack of precipitation over the past several months well. Hopefully what some of the models are showing for late April will change the situation some.
Yeah I'm not sure where it came from. I think something that would have been better would be how many inches of rain were needed in 30 days 60 days 90 days to end the drought. That at least gives everyone a more quantifiable number
the GFS is going on a linsanity run of really low error on temp forecasts this week. it has correctly been cooler at night than the euro suite by 5-10 degrees daily
Got to dodge the frost Monday morning. Garden is all out of the ground now.
Side note: We have fewer head of cattle in the US now than we had in 1950.
Fertilizer is up 20-40%. NCSNOW water bill =Stay tuned.
Best advice learn to love PB&J lol
Side note: We have fewer head of cattle in the US now than we had in 1950.
Fertilizer is up 20-40%. NCSNOW water bill =Stay tuned.
Best advice learn to love PB&J lol
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Drought monitor is still slow as molasses
Downeastnc
Member
This weather sucks....that is all carry on.
Brent
Member
West Tulsa is the one I barely missed and the sirens were too late to matter
I was told there would be a p-p-patttern change
Two weeks from now.
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Brent
Member
Lol everyone is like how is it gonna be possibly in the 30s Sunday morning
These people must be new... I remember wearing my hoodie near Memorial Day one year I've been here
I mean I feel like we're trying to make up for the warmest winter ever though
JHS
Member
The 0z models did not look great, especially the GFS. The Euro has more precipitation, but it is after 10 days. I do not really see a major change in precip until August or September.
NoSnowATL
Member
Then 2 weeks from for 2 week.
I’m targeting November for the change to consistently wetter than normal in much of the SE, which is typical for strong El Niño autumns. Until then lots of watering is anticipated during dry periods.
But good news is that for well before then, the model consensus is showing a pattern change to wetter than normal in ~10 days (at least down in my general area) and going into early May. Fingers crossed that from then through Oct will be closer to normal.
I ended up getting a downpour for about 10 seconds. Then a little more afterwards. It was enough to knock the pollen out of the air. This is a terrible pattern we're in....... We need that pattern change..
0z CFS has been fairly consistent with the pattern change. It now has the change starting in about 10 days (no can kicking). Here's the end of the run total QPF, with much of the SE totals occurring after day 10:
