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March 2026 - Winter or Spring?

RAN said:
why are we zoomed over the atlantic ocean lol
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I've asked the same thing before. I think he doesn't understand that there's also a US view. It's probably a cached view that shows up on his computer from hurricane season and he's not sure how to change it to the US.
 
JQPublic said:
I forget why but read it is less common to receive frz rn the later in the season you get more common to get snow if the temp support it. Anyone now why?
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If this is true (it is believable and KATL stats support this idea…..maybe someone could check RDU/GSO), my guess would be because upper levels are slower to warm on average than lower levels. The lower levels are likely quicker to warm from the higher sun angle.

I believe that Feb may actually average slightly colder than Jan in many locations at H5 despite being slightly warmer than Jan at 2m.
 
Pattern reminds me of December, big Arctic ridge over Alaska funneling cold air into AK, big -PNA, with all the cold locked up to the north. Had big cold routinely heading east, with occasional muted dips down to the SE pushing down the SE ridging due to -NAO.

My guess is this overall pattern minus the -NAO continues in March with a bit stronger troughing pushing the SE ridge down a little, but likely not enough to go crazy cold for this time of year due to the lack of -NAO. But enough to be like, "man I'm ready for spring, just get warm".

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GaWx said:
If this is true (it is believable and KATL stats support this idea…..maybe someone could check RDU/GSO), my guess would be because upper levels are slower to warm on average than lower levels. The lower levels are likely quicker to warm from the higher sun angle.

I believe that Feb may actually average slightly colder than Jan in many locations at H5 despite being slightly warmer than Jan at 2m.
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I think this is basically it. Radiational heating at the surface from the increasing sun angle gets harder and harder to beat as we move towards the spring equinox. That being said, there are exceptions to the rule, like the major ice storm of March 2014 for N NC, the worst ice storm the area has had since December 2002 (of course, many didn’t believe in it because major ice storms in March aren’t usually a thing).

Didn’t Atlanta get a major ice storm in March 1973 or something?
 
superjames1992 said:
I think this is basically it. Radiational heating at the surface from the increasing sun angle gets harder and harder to beat as we move towards the spring equinox. That being said, there are exceptions to the rule, like the major ice storm of March 2014 for N NC, the worst ice storm the area has had since December 2002 (of course, many didn’t believe in it because major ice storms in March aren’t usually a thing).

Didn’t Atlanta get a major ice storm in March 1973 or something?
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3/25/1971 was an ATL area major ZR although not right at the airport (southside), where they got no more than a minor amount with the lowest right at 32.

March major ZR at ATL:

3/25/1971
3/2/1960
3/9/1960
3/6/1948
 
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