Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

[Storm5]

The nam kicks the 12z runs off with a bang . Nice way to start the day . Hopefully we see the other models head in this direction as well

Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk

 

[SD]

Energy along the west coast is slightly slower. Could be enough to allow the southern end of the trough to dig and tilt negative

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

 

[RBR71]

The energy is so far SW that it's almost touching Texas at 57 hours, this is close to the 00z Euro run from last night

The old EE rule right? Lol

 

[RollTide18]

And it dries up before it gets here lol still good run.

 

[SCweather]

Annnnd it dwindles apart. Hopefully it gets wetter each run.

 

[deltadog03]

Nam starting to elongate the trough and putting a lot more energy in the plains and shifting it west vs 6z. Probably going to be a big run

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

I noticed it shearing out the part of the trof a bit over the great lakes and putting more in the SW portion of it...euro was trending that way last night too

 

[Tarheel1]

Yeah, really vanishes in E TN. Not good for Carolina peeps.

 

[ForsythSnow]

Weak low showing up off the Carolinas, much closer than the last run. Maybe this can re develop the snow band.

 

[RBR71]

Energy along the west coast is slightly slower. Could be enough to allow the southern end of the trough to dig and tilt negative

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

And @63 you can see moisture gathering over the Atlantic just off the coast, should see a good increase over Central NC here shortly with this run I think..... let's see, has potential to be a good hit

 

[SD]

I noticed it shearing out the part of the trof a bit over the great lakes and putting more in the SW portion of it...euro was trending that way last night too

Yeah that elongation is what the early model runs with the big qpf totals had where the southern energy separated and went negative. We need that badly.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

 

[tennessee storm]

man i done had enough snow here... ;hope rest can score big on this... nam got me worried... i still cant get out my driveway lol

 

[ForsythSnow]

NVM, it's not going to do it as well as last run.

 

[Kylo]

Bulk of Tennessee covered in snow extending into MS/AL.

 

[RollTide18]

Bulk of Tennessee covered in snow extending into MS/AL.

Definitely looking like a 20/59 north event in Alabama.

 

[deltadog03]

Yeah that elongation is what the early model runs with the big qpf totals had where the southern energy separated and went negative. We need that badly.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

Whats interesting to me is the euro dried up a bit and then generated more qpf. NAM actually looks better at
H5 comparing to last nights euro but doesn't generate more qpf...euro did...I still think NAM should have more but the trends are really good

 

[Xtreme Weather]

QPF trending wetter still


RGEM did this on 6z at end of it's run as well waiting on 12z

 

[accu35]

Nam 3km is juiced up as well

 

[Jon]

closes off at 84 hours over TN!!! Wow....thats what we get when the energy digs all the way to TX/OK panhandle. Big run for NC and SC!

 

[SD]

And @63 you can see moisture gathering over the Atlantic just off the coast, should see a good increase over Central NC here shortly with this run I think..... let's see, has potential to be a good hit

Slower for us 78-84 should have precip devolving over the area when the best jet dynamics and fgen move through

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

 

[RBR71]

End of the run about to get good for Carolinas.... nice trend

 

[Brett]

Slower for us 78-84 should have precip devolving over the area when the best jet dynamics and fgen move through

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

closes off at 84 hours over TN!!! Wow....thats what we get when the energy digs all the way to TX/OK panhandle. Big run for NC and SC!

Looks great in SE VA too makes me happy !!

 

[accu35]

And it starts to dry up to

 

[SCweather]

It happened! explosion off the coast!

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Very nice start for the day NC/SC in the game as well

 

[Stormsfury]

Secondary (dual jet structure developing Central GOM at 63hr...). Longwave trough much, much sharper than its previous run ...

 

[RBR71]

Yeah great start to the 12z suite.... and NAM don't play

 

[SCweather]

The Euro is going to be very interesting today i think

 

[Brick Tamland]

Man, awesome run. Hope the Euro keeps it up and the GFS comes around. But great trends for NC now.

 

[RBR71]

Nice and for the Carolina's it's still snowing at the end so those numbers at least for eastern sections would go up

 

[Avalanche]

Do you define this as a miller B?

 

[Brett]

Going to be a good 12z run for all the models

 

[RBR71]

Wow. 4-6" likely at least for RDU east.

Be still my beating heart....

 

[Avalanche]

Met, I feel like quoting Randy Quaid on your pic.

 

[SD]

Do you define this as a miller B?

A all the way

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

 

[Tarheel1]

Well TN and E NC and E SC look great! Between there looks sucktastic !

 

[Roswellian]

So the trends are for the line to dry out completely over Georgia? Trying to make sense of all of this.

 

[Avalanche]

A all the way

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

So the wave is just a "kicker"?

 

[JHS]

Well TN and E NC and E SC look great! Between there looks sucktastic !

Of course it does. Bring on spring NOW.

 

[Deleted member 609]

What do we need to happen for the precip to make it further west to Charlotte?

 

[ForsythSnow]

Bring this closer so the coast slightly, keep the moisture intact all the way, grow it as it continues on, and blow up near the Carolinas and we have a near perfect storm for most of everyone on here.