much better to get that sleet then have the QPF go to freezing rain instead...
No way GSO gets over an inch QPF of sleet. We’ll be shut down for weeks haha
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Wintry January 23rd-27th 2026
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Mpirone12
Member
I doubt we get above freezing. I’m sure that rain would for freezing rain at the end.
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Ray has been doing this for longer than most of you have been alive. He’s seen countless big ones. You can feel the fear of what’s coming for his region in that last sentence.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Severe threat
tractor girl
Member
From generational ice storm to everyday thunderstorm in the span of 4 days fmlSevere threat
dsaur
Member
I don't remember the wind being high like this, but I do remember quaking all night when I heard the tree tops rattling as what I would describe as a breeze blew thur. That was the most terrifing because when you hear the wind you got the cracks and whamps, as limbs and trees fell and the explosions from the transformers lighting up the night. Over an inch in 15 to 20 mile winds would have me in the basement with a hard hat on.
Iconic, CBS46 said more sleet than Freezing rain and then it could be thunderstorms
Btownheel
Member
No way GSO gets over an inch QPF of sleet. We’ll be shut down for weeks haha
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I think that’s precisely what’s coming. Said it many times this week. I’ll own it if I’m wrong, but you don’t get zr when it’s 21 degrees at surface. That’s sleet all day.
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dsaur
Member
How many of us will get snow as the bitter cold moves in and scours out the moisture?
lusting4Adusting
Member
@NBAcentel had some gifs of similar looks earlier today, but these are some big temp adjustments from the HRRR back in the Texas region.
Yep. Blue Norther. That's the Texas version of a cad. The shallow Arctic air push is often underestimated.
BufordWX
Member
Found this on the FFC site. It seems pretty useful for showing the range of possible ice accumulation by city.
Looking forward to the squall line of thunder freezing rain at the end of this one. 
It seems impossible and yet it shows up on most models.
It seems impossible and yet it shows up on most models.
Having to watch vorticity on RadarScope while it looks like the South Pole outside your window is vileLooking forward to the squall line of thunder freezing rain at the end of this one.
GoDuke
Member
It’s a 300+ hour solution that made it to reality no doubt about that.Looking forward to the squall line of thunder freezing rain at the end of this one.
Flo
Member
Euro?
DylanWx
Member
Flo
Member
Good hopefully it ends the misery
I would wager a lot that most of that ZR on the EURO is IP.
And the CAD just melts into rain by Sunday evening on the 00z Euro. Take it for what it is worth.
But it is doing it on all the runs though. This is sooo weird.
Thrasher Fan
Member
The differences between the GFS and EURO are wild at this timeframe.
Example...72h 2m temp for Augusta, GA: GFS...37° EURO...61°
Example...72h 2m temp for Augusta, GA: GFS...37° EURO...61°
The 00z Euro is generally a tick colder at the surface it looks to me.
00z Euro significant increase in QPF. RDU goes from 1.03” to 1.36”. GSO 1.13” to 1.50”. For GSO it’s all frozen, for RDU it may realistically be although the final little bit could verbatim be rain. In general the precip axis sagged south some.
00z Euro also increases the front end snow on the Kuchera maps. Not sure if this is true snow or if there’s an atmospheric layer the algorithm isn’t considering, but here is the Kuchera clown, 25-50 miles south of 18z:
BufordWX
Member
GSP upgraded their NE Georgia counties to an Ice Storm Warning. Probably will see FFC issue one soon as well
00z AI Euro also got wetter, but is still on the drier side of guidance. RDU went from 0.70" to 0.85", GSO from 0.90" to 1.04", GSP from 0.95" to 1.14", etc. It didn't go as far north with the initial thump. The "snow" line also came south around a county's worth on the AI Euro, as well.
BufordWX
Member
Dawson-Lumpkin-White-Forsyth-Hall-Banks-Jackson-Madison-
Including the cities of Dawsonville, Homer, Comer, Dahlonega,
Cleveland, Cumming, Gainesville, and Commerce
114 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026
...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 10 AM EST
MONDAY...
* WHAT...Significant icing expected. Total ice accumulations between
a quarter of an inch and one inch are expected. Winds gusting as
high as 30 mph.
* WHERE...Portions of north central and northeast Georgia.
* WHEN...From 1 PM Saturday to 10 AM EST Monday.
Thrasher Fan
Member
Winter Storm Watch was also extended to Monday at 10AM by KFCC.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
114 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026
GAZ030>034-041>051-053>062-072>076-231415-
/O.CON.KFFC.WS.A.0001.260124T1800Z-260126T1500Z/
Polk-Paulding-Cobb-North Fulton-Gwinnett-Haralson-Carroll-Douglas-
South Fulton-DeKalb-Rockdale-Walton-Newton-Morgan-Greene-
Taliaferro-Coweta-Fayette-Clayton-Spalding-Henry-Butts-Jasper-Putnam-
Hancock-Warren-Jones-Baldwin-Washington-Glascock-Jefferson-
Including the cities of Douglasville, Atlanta, Madison, Gray,
Covington, Monroe, Newnan, Cedartown, Jackson, Lawrenceville, Dallas,
Sparta, Griffin, Crawfordville, Carrollton, Conyers, East Point,
Greensboro, Bremen, Decatur, Eatonton, Louisville, Warrenton,
Sandersville, Peachtree City, GIbson, Monticello, Stockbridge,
Riverdale, Milledgeville, and Marietta
114 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total ice accumulations
between a tenth of an inch and three quarters of an inch are
possible. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central,
northwest, and west central Georgia.
* WHEN...From Saturday afternoon through Monday morning.
* IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice.
Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could
impact the Monday morning commute.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.
Persons should consider delaying all travel. If travel is absolutely
necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter storm
kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, booster
cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. Also take
water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help you survive
in case you become stranded.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
114 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026
GAZ030>034-041>051-053>062-072>076-231415-
/O.CON.KFFC.WS.A.0001.260124T1800Z-260126T1500Z/
Polk-Paulding-Cobb-North Fulton-Gwinnett-Haralson-Carroll-Douglas-
South Fulton-DeKalb-Rockdale-Walton-Newton-Morgan-Greene-
Taliaferro-Coweta-Fayette-Clayton-Spalding-Henry-Butts-Jasper-Putnam-
Hancock-Warren-Jones-Baldwin-Washington-Glascock-Jefferson-
Including the cities of Douglasville, Atlanta, Madison, Gray,
Covington, Monroe, Newnan, Cedartown, Jackson, Lawrenceville, Dallas,
Sparta, Griffin, Crawfordville, Carrollton, Conyers, East Point,
Greensboro, Bremen, Decatur, Eatonton, Louisville, Warrenton,
Sandersville, Peachtree City, GIbson, Monticello, Stockbridge,
Riverdale, Milledgeville, and Marietta
114 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total ice accumulations
between a tenth of an inch and three quarters of an inch are
possible. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central,
northwest, and west central Georgia.
* WHEN...From Saturday afternoon through Monday morning.
* IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice.
Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could
impact the Monday morning commute.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.
Persons should consider delaying all travel. If travel is absolutely
necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter storm
kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, booster
cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. Also take
water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help you survive
in case you become stranded.
RecklessApple
Member
Updated storm ice total for Raleigh area.
Giant sigh of relief. I’m cutting bait (like I fish? Pffft.. gross!). And going to bed on a win.
Reel in next weekend! A big honking snow for everyone but the mid Atlantic and Indiana! Oh, and that one nameless extreme wx experience person.
New FFC map
I’m in South Forsyth for this one. First time I’ve ever been in an Ice Storm Warning. Saddens me that there is property loss coming, but the weather geek in me is fascinated by it all. Hope everyone seats safe and there is no loss of life!
ATLCT
Member
Ugh...do not like this at all, though it isn't the apocalyptic scenario many have been suggesting for Atlanta
FFC discussion - https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=AFDFFC&e=202601230727
snippet
LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 138 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026
Ice Storm Overview
The primary change to the forecast overnight was the issuance of
an Ice Storm Warning for several counties in northeast Georgia.
The portion of the Winter Storm Watch upgraded to the Ice Storm
Warning represents the area were we are most confident in
major/prolonged impacts from ice accumulation. This area may
experience widespread power outages and treacherous travel
conditions by Sunday morning. Confidence in the timing and degree
of icing in Atlanta, along Interstate 75 north of Atlanta, and
Interstate 20 east of Atlanta was lower. Thus these areas and
their surrounding counties were left in a Winter Storm Watch for
now. We will reevaluate the current Watches and Warnings later
this morning and provide updates by early this afternoon. An
expansion to the Ice Storm Warning is probable at some point.
snippet
LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 138 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026
Ice Storm Overview
The primary change to the forecast overnight was the issuance of
an Ice Storm Warning for several counties in northeast Georgia.
The portion of the Winter Storm Watch upgraded to the Ice Storm
Warning represents the area were we are most confident in
major/prolonged impacts from ice accumulation. This area may
experience widespread power outages and treacherous travel
conditions by Sunday morning. Confidence in the timing and degree
of icing in Atlanta, along Interstate 75 north of Atlanta, and
Interstate 20 east of Atlanta was lower. Thus these areas and
their surrounding counties were left in a Winter Storm Watch for
now. We will reevaluate the current Watches and Warnings later
this morning and provide updates by early this afternoon. An
expansion to the Ice Storm Warning is probable at some point.
If those #s were to verify, they might not be historic. However, that would still be the worst icestorm by a good margin since 2005 for downtown, Dunwoody, Alpharetta, Marietta, Stone Mtn, and Lawrenceville and would be enough to cause widespread tree damage and outages.