Yertmoo
Member
What showing for Huntsville?
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Wintry January 23rd-27th 2026
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
iwantsouthernsnow123
Member
This may sound like a stupid question but do the AI models get this information as well?
SnowmasterATL
Member
good question, I don't think so. That is a great question for Bouncycorn.
a_gilmore88
Member
Seems bullish on the snow (I assume sleet is included in the totals, but still). A foot near the NC/VA border?
John1122
Member
The AI models are ran off the OP models, which they then, in the case of the Euro uses 100 years or so of data from actual outcomes to fine tune them.
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Through 7AM? Lmao
Dang…. That’s a solid little event still 8hrs left Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Nah, all local people still kind of hanging there
I really think I-40 N will be just fine in the end. 6-12” ect. I’m no one though
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I tend to agree.
The Baja low is reasonably interpreted by satellite observations. The real players are the TPV in SE Canada and the perturbations both in the North Pacific and the NW Territories that influence the orientation of the PNA ridge.
The NWS does include sleet in snow totals both for forecasting and records
Wish they had flown to Canada instead of the baja
Brent
Member
NWMSGuy
Member
Seeing northwest shifts in latest 21z of the SREF compared to the 15z:
Flo
Member
I’m being honest didn’t even know they did flights for basic winter storms. I don’t get how something may be missing to change any of this but that’s why I read and not post.
Brent
Member
Yertmoo
Member
When was the last time?
Flo
Member
So even they know all this is weird
Last weekend.
I think they flew for the Sunday system
iGRXY
Member
The NaM is already looking improved in the Baja region and with the N/S early in its run
Yertmoo
Member
18z Google model really pushing north now...Raleigh down to around 0.5" QPF...primarly low drives up into Ohio and reforms just east of NYC. It's been the northern most model all week. I keep hearing how good it's been so this will be a good test.
that's kind sentiment, just need to a place to collect everything i was thinking about here
let's get the night off to a good start! solid jump in new separation on baja low already at 24 hours out on the 00z nam, it's west
What's the temps like when she's hauling ____ north?
believe this gif
Xlhunter3
Member
Baja a little more SW so far. Actually a significant tick. 
That NS wave is just farther north. I bet it still drops in just as the Baja low starts to head east. Same solution just slower. Just a guess tho.
I wish we had a wave in the vicinity of the Baja low to tug it west or something.
That little blip in MT , is farther west too
beanskip
Member
Yeah it's like no matter how well they trend apart for 36 hours, the northern wave just makes up the difference by diving southwest later in the run.
EDIT: Having said that, the Baja low's west is substantial.
FWIW
HRRR is farthes N with precip of any model at initiation. Big 18 wheeler of salt tho
HRRR is farthes N with precip of any model at initiation. Big 18 wheeler of salt tho
Finger ridge looks better 
Mpirone12
Member
Shouldn’t the HRRR be used for very near term forecasts?
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That is one of the nuttiest inverted trough/western Appalachian escarpment warming signals I have ever seen modeled. And it’s still ZR-ing here at 1pm Sunday. Boy
mydoortotheworld
Member
Dumb question but if NAM runs off of GFS data, NAM should be spitting out a run with the new data from the hurricane hunters?
Not unheard of but odd track for classic Miller B, I mean usually don't see transfer to coastal that far north. Not doubting it, it could certainly be 100% correct just not the standard