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Wintry January 23rd-27th 2026

The Canadian is not as much of the crazy uncle it used to be. For a time it was running way better than the GFS .. skill score wise.

Webber did talk about one potential “fail” and that was mega overamping scenerio. Sucking a baha low into the cold push of a century seems like a way to get a mega over amp scenario.

Now this is no real fail because you’re still going to be cold for winter weather. But yeah your mega widespread ice storm potential is looking more serious
 
Canadian model is probably the worst model for now and the next three days. I’m not saying we should dismiss or trust snomageddon in the SE, but forget about the Canadian model runs. Things will fluctuate back and forth over the next few days, but history has proven the Canadian model should not be trusted. We are in a good setup. No one will probably get a foot of snow but things look very good for a nice thump.
 
Edward Nygma said:
The Canadian is crazy yet the GFS stepped 3/4 of the way to what it is showing with the baja low in one run.

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NickyBGuarantee said:
The Canadian is not as much of the crazy uncle it used to be. For a time it was running way better than the GFS .. skill score wise.

Webber did talk about one potential “fail” and that was mega overamping scenerio. Sucking a baha low into the cold push of a century seems like a way to get a mega over amp scenario.

Now this is no real fail because you’re still going to be cold for winter weather. But yeah your mega widespread ice storm potential is looking more serious
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let me get my jokes off please without critical analysis

this is minor but i think it suffers from not having a 6z/18z, making trend gifs look jumpier (and look more inconsistent).

upon further review, i have a lazy eye on it, less so much on the low but the shortwave that comes in from montana and phases a little with the baja low. that's what caused canadian to amp.

i still think it's been pretty unreliable this winter
 
Ross said:
let me get my jokes off please without critical analysis

this is minor but i think it suffers from not having a 6z/18z, making trend gifs look jumpier (and look more inconsistent).

upon further review, i have a lazy eye on it, less so much on the low but the shortwave that comes in from montana and phases a little with the baja low. that's what caused canadian to amp.

i still think it's been pretty unreliable this winter
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And a very valid point. All things to consider simply. Wasn’t expecting such a jog south for so long.. but something told me we didn’t have the final solution with this thing 150 hours out. There’s always something new the weather gods like to throw in to make us squirm a little. But that’s apart of the fun wouldn’t you say?
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
And a very valid point. All things to consider simply. Wasn’t expecting such a jog south for so long.. but something told me we didn’t have the final solution with this thing 150 hours out. There’s always something new the weather gods like to throw in to make us squirm a little. But that’s apart of the fun wouldn’t you say?
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yeah getting a particular solution to stay put for a 5 day period is like trying to get a dog to pose nicely for a family photo. you only got so long before something happens
 
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