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Misc General Banter Thread

At this point, I’m hoping for a solid mountain snow before the end of February that happens close enough to a weekend to be chaseable without taking time off work. I’m no longer being greedy about it needing to snow at my house specifically. Feel like that’s not too much to ask.
 
I hate to say it, but for the far east in Georgia and eastward, you're probably going to have to just trash the NAM. It's very possible that it's just completely off its rocker involving temps because the RGEM isn't even agreeing.

If it's right, then it will snow, but if not then it might just be a few token flakes...
 
Looking more like there will be a pencil thin line in GA/SC/NC, maybe 25-50 miles wide of accumulating snow just north of the rain/snow line…


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NCPROGRAMMER said:
It legit seems to be much more difficult to get more than a few inches of snow in a storm in the Carolinas (outside the mountains) over the last few decades. Weather pattern changes?
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I’ll have to dig up the spreadsheet I posted a few weeks ago. At least for Florence (and the rest of the coastal plain communities) we’ve seen more snow 2010-2025 than we did in the previous 15 years. Going back further there’s a decadal signature in the data.
 
I was hoping this young lady would get to see her first real snowfall this weekend but her hopes like mine are dashed since we live in the RDU area. At least me and the wife get to keep our newest granddaughter this weekend. There will be more chances down the pipeline later this month to come.
 

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Drizzle Snizzle said:
I think some of this may be rain though
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Keep in mind an inch is a big deal in those parts. Yes some will be rain but the huge increase in liquid totals means not only will caa be at play but also dynamical cooling. Just using Macon as an example. .changeover could occur as early as early as 09 z...after which 0.25 to .40 falls depending on the model. I'd be thrilled if I was there.
 
NCPROGRAMMER said:
It legit seems to be much more difficult to get more than a few inches of snow in a storm in the Carolinas (outside the mountains) over the last few decades. Weather pattern changes?
Click to expand...
Your neighbors to the south have been in a much worse snow drought. They never have anything to chase and look forward to. Ya'll already had snow this year.

I hope Columbia, Greenville and all of mid-state and eastern SC get absolutely pasted with this system. They deserve it.
 
rburrel2 said:
Accumulations will be tough for everywhere outside of FL/GA. But we will watch and hope for the best.

Any flakes and especially any coatings will go down as a win in SC/NC.
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Words you don’t expect to read on a weather forum. I made a mistake moving away from the Florida panhandle in 2019! And even I saw snow / ice there in January 2018!!
 
Makeitsnow said:
Keep in mind an inch is a big deal in those parts. Yes some will be rain but the huge increase in liquid totals means not only will caa be at play but also dynamical cooling. Just using Macon as an example. .changeover could occur as early as early as 09 z...after which 0.25 to .40 falls depending on the model. I'd be thrilled if I was there.
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Yeah if south GA can pull this off they will be on quite the hot streak considering the success they had last year. However if they do score they may be using up all their good luck and may have to wait 50 years for the next one 😂
 
Bready86 said:
We are well into the every man for himself stage of an incoming event and it hasn’t disappointed with the back and forth.
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We’re in this together, at least!!! I honestly don’t know what to think, but I guess I’m glad I’m in Orange County as opposed to Wake for this one. Would not at all be shocked if it’s 90%+ rain, but we shall see.
 
NCPROGRAMMER said:
It legit seems to be much more difficult to get more than a few inches of snow in a storm in the Carolinas (outside the mountains) over the last few decades. Weather pattern changes?
Click to expand...
Huh? This has been a stellar decade if you are going back to 2016. You are gonna have some down years because we live in the south.
 
Wild Weather Monger said:
Of course, right when we get an improved GFS run, the sun decides to pop out. Yada, yada, yada. I don't want to hit 50 today.
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Shoot, the weather stations around me are well on their way to 58-60.

I just don't know. We'll see. But this tomorrow for a few hours would be nice since I couldn't really observe due to "work" last year (ignore the 24, it was wrong):

 
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