Yup.
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Wintry Midsouth Winter Storm January 12th-13th
- Thread starter Storm5
- Start date
Storm5
Member
Not good at the moment. The setup as shown if true favors areas to our NW
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Storm5
Member
18z gfs was slower like the Euro. As My boy Jeremy says , the slower the better
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NWMSGuy
Member
Looks like the GFS has a more icy solution compared to EURO showing snow for the Memphis area.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Looks like cold chasing moisture. We all know how the last chapter of that reads.
Usmeagle2005
Member
Made the mistake of getting my hopes up. Said I wasn’t going to do it, but I did.lol
MichaelJ
Member
Ryan Maue | weather.usVerified account @RyanMaue 3h3 hours ago
New model output from the vaunted @ECMWF doesn't have a "bomb cyclone" but you don't need one if you have a lot of moisture, pressure gradients & a front. Huge snowstorm shaping up for Ohio Valley on Saturday.
Maue thinking further North than most here although he didn't rule out Tenn specifically
New model output from the vaunted @ECMWF doesn't have a "bomb cyclone" but you don't need one if you have a lot of moisture, pressure gradients & a front. Huge snowstorm shaping up for Ohio Valley on Saturday.
Maue thinking further North than most here although he didn't rule out Tenn specifically
Storm5
Member
Not really . This has the potential to bury someone . Classic ULL closing off .
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whizrtr
Member
Spann:
FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: A deepening surface low will move right over Alabama Friday with widespread rain statewide; amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch are likely. On the back side of the departing low, much colder air will be pulled down into the Deep South, and it looks like we will have falling temperatures by Friday afternoon. And, there is some chance the rain could briefly change to light snow or snow flurries Friday night or Saturday morning. Traditionally in cases like this, there is little impact and little accumulation, but we will keep an eye on trends in coming days.
FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: A deepening surface low will move right over Alabama Friday with widespread rain statewide; amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch are likely. On the back side of the departing low, much colder air will be pulled down into the Deep South, and it looks like we will have falling temperatures by Friday afternoon. And, there is some chance the rain could briefly change to light snow or snow flurries Friday night or Saturday morning. Traditionally in cases like this, there is little impact and little accumulation, but we will keep an eye on trends in coming days.
I bet higher elevations of the mountains do well this weekend. I'm so close to cooking a chalet up near ober gatlinburg thats right around 3,000 feet for the weekend. NW flow kicks in
GeorgiaGirl
Member
It's not really a cold chasing moisture thing if the darn thing would stay closed. It stays so for a while, but then some trailing energy seemingly makes it reopen over the heart of Tennessee and the storm isn't as impressive eastward. At least it isn't an open mess like it was for a while earlier though.
Flurry
Member
How are those chalet’s best cooked??? Sautéed or fried??
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Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
How are those chalet’s best cooked??? Sautéed or fried??
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Depends on the company!
Stormlover
Member
Oh please, don't fall for someone throwing in the towel like that. You are in a very good spot.
Storm5
Member
18z gefs is SE of the OP
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olhausen
Member
Don’t live and die by each run. My area actually saw an increase from 1 inch earlier run to about 3 this run. But it doesn’t matter because there’s still way to much time left to give up or jump for joy at this point.
Eoul
Wouldn’t that put us in a good position? That is about 150 east/southeast.18z gefs is SE of the OP
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
The GEFS likely has some great members for you.
Storm5
Member
I still think this favors areas to our NW . But your in a better position no doubt . Just have to see how it unfolds
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olhausen
Member
Just looked and it sure does.
Edit: Middle Tennessee will take E15 and cash out for the winter.
JLL1973
Member
Anyone have a map of the gefs members?
NWMSGuy
Member
JLL1973
Member
Really thought there would of been more hits for our areaThrough Sunday
Usmeagle2005
Member
I never did that before, use to get irritated when people did it oddly enough, but this year it just seems like when things start going wrong they don’t go back, been burned a lot.
Usmeagle2005
Member
All the north miss folks are on edge. know I am.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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NAM looks like it's a go for the Memphis Mauler!
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Mauled with rain and 3 backside sleet pellets.
Storm5
Member
.
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Slam Dunk?.
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
Wow, what a large storm on the NAM.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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GFS bringing the Tunica Tromper and Memphis Mauler
Low further south this time.
JLL1973
Member
By the looks of it Gfs bringing in more ice than snow.
Yes even icy into northern Alabama and southern Tennessee.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Add Nashville Nailer to the GFS!