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Misc General Banter Thread

This weather is nice, but it’s also boring as hell
I don't mind nice and boring today. I'll be participating in a Lantern Walk in a Raleigh cemetery this evening and I'm glad it's not going to be blazing hot or pouring buckets of rain. I'm going to be missing the first day of Eastern NC gun season for deer but at least I'll be in the outdoors with some quiet former Raleigh residents in a graveyard to keep me company.
 
I put up the Christmas tree and now I’m watching a Christmas movie !
Eyes What GIF
 
This might not be allowed in This forum, so please delete if it is not. But is anyone here deer hunters? My obsession with weather and cold fronts started with my obsession with deer hunting. Didn’t know if there was enough interest in a hunting weather forum discussion as we watch the rut and cold fronts come soon this early November.
 
This might not be allowed in This forum, so please delete if it is not. But is anyone here deer hunters? My obsession with weather and cold fronts started with my obsession with deer hunting. Didn’t know if there was enough interest in a hunting weather forum discussion as we watch the rut and cold fronts come soon this early November.
Yes, I am a deer hunter. As far as the rut, I know it hasn't begun yet but the deer are on the move. Going down Highway 264 from Raleigh to Greenville this past Sunday, I must have seen at least ten deer that had been hit by cars. I hope I'll be able to get my first hunt in this coming weekend. The weather Saturday should be ideal for deer hunting with comfortable temperatures and little wind.
 
Yes, I am a deer hunter. As far as the rut, I know it hasn't begun yet but the deer are on the move. Going down Highway 264 from Raleigh to Greenville this past Sunday, I must have seen at least ten deer that had been hit by cars. I hope I'll be able to get my first hunt in this coming weekend. The weather Saturday should be ideal for deer hunting with comfortable temperatures and little wind.
I’m hunting in the foothills, no rut action here yet. But spikes starting to look curious, but big bucks still using thick cover and hitting white oak trees. I think this big cold front coming Halloween-first week of November is going to get them on their feet very soon
 
I’m hunting in the foothills, no rut action here yet. But spikes starting to look curious, but big bucks still using thick cover and hitting white oak trees. I think this big cold front coming Halloween-first week of November is going to get them on their feet very soon
Rut has started down here, Started smelling them in the fields last week.
 
40 minute wait to get thru TSA precheck in ATL this morning. Double the longest I have previously ever waited. I can't imagine the grind in the non-precheck lines.
Do you have digital ID? I find that the precheck line with digital ID usually has no wait.
 
40 minute wait to get thru TSA precheck in ATL this morning. Double the longest I have previously ever waited. I can't imagine the grind in the non-precheck lines.

They have the distinction of being the only airport I've missed my flight due to security line 😂

And I've been to both coasts and Europe
 
Yea it holds up pretty well. I think the special effects are excellent for the time.

I once read that some people think Spielberg ghost directed it (no pun intended), which might have some truth to it.
Yeah he may have. It has his style of character and camera movement.
 
What a View and what a Golf Course. Glad they put a webcam up there. Love playing that High elevation Golf. If you in central NC and don't want to pilgrimage up to the mtns. Go to TOT HILL FARM Golf Course in Randolph County. Its breathtaking beauty. Very , Very tough course to score on though. One year it was ranked 7th toughest in the country by Golf Digest. Ive seen Turkeys and Deer multiple times playing it. This pic is from Linville area by the way

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Can somebody tell me why WRAL predicts 20%/30% rain chances Mon-Tues while I'm seeing 80% chances on my iphone weather app for the Triangle? Are we looking at a potential miss that cannot be accurately predicated even 72hs out?
 
Can somebody tell me why WRAL predicts 20%/30% rain chances Mon-Tues while I'm seeing 80% chances on my iphone weather app for the Triangle? Are we looking at a potential miss that cannot be accurately predicated even 72hs out?
My guess is that their Weather Center is betting against any significant development of the coastal low that is supposed to form near the Outer Banks during that period that would enhance rainfall chances. The NWS at Raleigh has chances of rain during this period at 30% to 40% which are numbers close to what WRAL is forecasting. The NWS did mention in yesterday's afternoon discussion that their forecasted rain chances may need to be adjusted upwards depending on the position and strength of this low as we draw closer to this event.
 
My guess is that their Weather Center is betting against any significant development of the coastal low that is supposed to form near the Outer Banks during that period that would enhance rainfall chances. The NWS at Raleigh has chances of rain during this period at 30% to 40% which are numbers close to what WRAL is forecasting. The NWS did mention in yesterday's afternoon discussion that their forecasted rain chances may need to be adjusted upwards depending on the position and strength of this low as we draw closer to this event.
I believe WRAL's "in-house" model uses a blend of several models (like the NWS does).

I have a theory the iphone app heavily weights only one global model--not sure which one. In this case, the wetter forecast. Would also explain why we often get crazy snow forecasts on the app 6+ days in advance.

Of note, WRAL has now upped chances on Mon/Tues to 60%. Meanwhile NWS hasn't updated theirs since this morning (at least in the Triangle) and still shows the 30 to 40%. Be interesting to see how much it goes up when they update.
 
I believe WRAL's "in-house" model uses a blend of several models (like the NWS does).

I have a theory the iphone app heavily weights only one global model--not sure which one. In this case, the wetter forecast. Would also explain why we often get crazy snow forecasts on the app 6+ days in advance.

Of note, WRAL has now upped chances on Mon/Tues to 60%. Meanwhile NWS hasn't updated theirs since this morning (at least in the Triangle) and still shows the 30 to 40%. Be interesting to see how much it goes up when they update.
The NWS in Raleigh just upped precipitation chances for Monday to 60% and kept them at 30% for Tuesday. We certainly could use whatever rain we get from this system. CAD will be in place with highs possibly not getting out of the mid 50s and a stiff northeast breeze in place.
 
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