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Pattern Another Angry August: Broiled, Baked, and Bone-Dry
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Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Well; already the first week of August looks way better than anything we've had in July. Add that to a more quickly receding sun angle and shortening days; we might end up with August being tolerable. Last month of met summer... then it's on baby!
tennessee storm
Member
August is hotter than July
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
On average that’s not the case in most locations. An exception is parts of Texas where i think August is usually hotter. I’m not sure why so many people have this perception that August is hotter than July. Sure there are some August’s that are hotter, but that’s not usually the case.
I think the reason many think August is hotter than July is that we are ready for the hot and humid conditions from June and July to go away and as I have learned, the longer you wait for something, the more impatient and miserable you become. Therefore, August seems even hotter than it really is. It looks like the first week of August this year will bring us a welcome break from the miserably uncomfortable conditions that will be felt next week.
12z GEFS flips the Carolinas to BN around Day 8 and most of the rest of the SE a day or two later. This newest run made a decent jump tugging the 500mb trough southward at the edge of reliable predictability.
I'm a little wary of it mainly because well, D10, but also looking at last week's (7/17 12z) GEFS run placing the center of this weekend's heat dome about 1500 miles too far west. That said it did still manage to do a good job of sniffing out the potential for AN temps. 00z EPS was on board with BN temps next weekend, hopefully holds at 12z.
I'm a little wary of it mainly because well, D10, but also looking at last week's (7/17 12z) GEFS run placing the center of this weekend's heat dome about 1500 miles too far west. That said it did still manage to do a good job of sniffing out the potential for AN temps. 00z EPS was on board with BN temps next weekend, hopefully holds at 12z.
EPS pulls the ridge way west towards the end of its run (the 0z), which encourages an eastern US trough. Should allow for increased rain chances and at least a shot at normal/slightly BN temps.
lexxnchloe
Member
The avg hottest day of the year for most in the East is July 19
JHS
Member
The 18z GFS is down to a 3 day shot at relief now. The heat comes right back in by August 4.
lexxnchloe
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
Mid to late August looks pretty sweaty
Seems legit for a 2nd year Nina
Killer thread title. Would recommend
The first suggestion from chatgpt was "Arid August hazy hot and homicide"
The average high in my backyard drops below 90F on August 21st. Average lows drop below 70 on August 29th.
It'll be hot and humid yes, but in ~3-4 weeks we'll be enjoying April-equivalent sun angle and shortening days. Get through this heat wave and the following warmups won't be as warm. And on and on.
It'll be hot and humid yes, but in ~3-4 weeks we'll be enjoying April-equivalent sun angle and shortening days. Get through this heat wave and the following warmups won't be as warm. And on and on.
tennessee storm
Member
Don’t get to excited just yet… seen several days early October get 90 degrees even… and daily averages keep on warming up as climate keeps getting warmer
JHS
Member
Yeah 1983, 2007, and 1988 among others I probably missed had August as the hottest month and summer can easily last until October even with the shorter days. I'd say it's not only possible, but maybe likely we get another stretch even worse than this one coming up later on in August.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Yeah but 90 in October probably means low dew points. I’m not sure I’ve ever seen 90s in October with dews in the 70s. Plus the sun angle is lower which helps. Don’t get me wrong it’s still hot, but 90 in October feels a lot different than 90 this time of year.
iGRXY
Member
It's not lol
Eh, I don't know, 2019 was freaking hot in Sept and Oct. I don't know it if it mattered what month.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
The sun is out a lot longer in July than October. Having more darkness helps.
True, but I think knowing that you should be in the 70's with a cool breeze makes it much worse mentally. Right now you just expect it to be hot.
90 with a dewpoint of 55 or 60 isn’t bad at all. The Deep South is another story but around here we lose the really bad humidity by mid September and it only comes back with a tropical system.
SnowNiner
Member
This month is generally just the worst for many reasons (other than my anniversary lol). I endure it basically to get to fall.
But September and the lowering of temps, football, beach trips are just around the corner. So there’s that.
But September and the lowering of temps, football, beach trips are just around the corner. So there’s that.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Also, don’t forget about Sept/early Oct of 2018, which at the time was the warmest since 1925. This strong warmth is what lead to Hurricane Michael exploding as Gulf temps were well above normal throughout due to the unseasonable air temps.
I took the day off of work to do some yard work and spend some time with one of my granddaughters and I can testify it is miserable outside. This is only the beginning of what will be some hot, humid and horrid weather for those of us who don't like the heat. The GFS shows highs of 100 or higher from Sunday through next Friday. It's sad to say but I am looking forward to highs of only around 90 degrees next Saturday.
Oh yeah, I forgot about that. That was another never-ending summer.