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Pattern May or May not

Rainfall forecast has been 70% plus with support from hi-res models both yesterday and today but not a drop to be found. In fact it’s bright blue sky this morning. Lot of folks already left the beaches yesterday because of the washout we were expecting.

Tomorrow will be 2 weeks without rain if nothing happens to day. Drought and flood cycle continues on.
 
ChrisAMB said:
Rainfall forecast has been 70% plus with support from hi-res models both yesterday and today but not a drop to be found. In fact it’s bright blue sky this morning. Lot of folks already left the beaches yesterday because of the washout we were expecting.

Tomorrow will be 2 weeks without rain if nothing happens to day. Drought and flood cycle continues on.
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Same here. We are getting a misty drizzle here and we had 60% overnight last night and didn't get a drop. Hi res looks bleak for today as well
 
cyclogent said:
Very impressive for late May, with potential for record cold maxes in some locations.
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Charlottes average high is 82 so a high of 54 would be way below normal. I guess that would be about as rare as a high of 110 since both 110 and 54 would have a 28 degree departure from normal.
 
I can't remember a Memorial Day with weather like this. It was downright cool walking around in shirt sleeves this afternoon with the wind blowing. It definitely wasn't a day for hanging around the pool or laying on the beach. I took advantage of it and did some yard work without breaking a sweat which is rare this time of year. Temperatures will warm up to more normal levels later this week but there is nothing record breaking or too extreme in the near future.
 
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I had several hours of mainly light rain today (5/26).

Edit: I estimate 0.2” for 5/26 and 2 day (5/25-6) total of ~2.2”.
 
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Lots of run to run uncertainty still for the 3k nam for mby. Last night's runs had me around 2 inches and the 06z now has me down to .25 with big 10+ lollipop offshore.

ILM issued a food watch based on earlier model runs showing the 2-3 inches but they have to be worried about the 6z.

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J.C. said:
3.75" over the weekend, definitely no drought talk for a while.
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I'm at 11.26" for May and 39.20" for the year. I know things can dry out quick but man it has been wet. It's not like we've had it all in a couple of days either. It just seems to storm every day.
 
Shaggy said:
Lots of run to run uncertainty still for the 3k nam for mby. Last night's runs had me around 2 inches and the 06z now has me down to .25 with big 10+ lollipop offshore.

ILM issued a food watch based on earlier model runs showing the 2-3 inches but they have to be worried about the 6z.

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They also said an area-wide inch to be expected. I just don’t believe it personally. Mid level dry flow from the SW since 2021 has cut our convective days in half to the point I’m legitimately amazed to see cumulonimbus overhead.
 
I can’t remember which particular year but it was the 2012-2014 range where I fished a tournament on Kerr on Memorial Day weekend and the lows were in the 30’s. Not quite there but it’s definitely been chilly for this time of the year!
 
Despite cloudy skies dominating the day, KSAV still had a near normal high of 87. This along with dewpoints ~74 much of the day made it feel quite sticky.

We’ve had rain from thunderstorms the last 1.75 hrs . KSAV received nearly 1”.

They haven’t had a high below 84 for the last two weeks! The month has averaged +3 for the mean temp. Despite a very wet month, the avg high there so far this month has been 87! This is very different from the significantly cooler northern SE!
 
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