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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

TheBatman

TheBatman

FEAR IS A TOOL
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Got the green light to start up this thread. We have some agreement with the GFS, CMC, UKMET, and GEM of a winter storm during the January 1st - 4th time frame. Different models is just off by a day.
 
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3/3 so far, even if it's a few days later.

Hopefully we can get to 4/4 and actually hold this one.
 
Most of this is Tuesday afternoon /night for the western sections
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hartselleweather said:
Hahahaha after this storm chase the button needs to say “burnt out”!!!!
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Need to add a " dumpster fire" key to that magic computer! Any storm that arrived after Saturday, seems like cold air won't be a problem at all!! Good to have something on all the models at basically the same timeframe
 
Spann:
Still seeing some signals concerning some wintry precipitation across parts of the Deep South Sunday/Sun night. The GFS has trended toward the drier European model; if we do see any snow over the northern half of Alabama it would most likely be light. Of course, this could change
 
whizrtr said:
Spann:
Still seeing some signals concerning some wintry precipitation across parts of the Deep South Sunday/Sun night. The GFS has trended toward the drier European model; if we do see any snow over the northern half of Alabama it would most likely be light. Of course, this could change
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Spann has spoken he's basically our groundhogs he says "light expect 12 inches
 
Spann is dumb for even mentioning intensity of precip at this point. Especially when all models have trended the way they have. This is why he gets tarred and feathered. He needs to understand there is NO REASON to mention precip intensity at this point. He is most likely wrong and now he posted it on social media.
 
If we are relying on the GFS and CMC, we are in deep doo doo here. Only question I have is how far towards Cuba this is suppressed and how strung out the energy becomes over the next couple of days. Is encouraging the UKMET is showing hints of a system though
 
Storm5 said:
Lmao that’s what I get for being a douche a guess


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Break out your Ass Hat again
 
Could we not title these threads with the initial model name and Hour that showed the storm 1st at least some where in the name? Be cool to be able to reference the true credibility of the individual models for referencing in the future. Just curious.. there may be a better way. Everyone talks about how specific models handle certain events better than others, be nice to be able to lay it out and track the outcome.
 
Lol no surprise the gfs continues to back off it’s stupid cold runs . Still cold but no more single digits


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whizrtr said:
Spann:
Still seeing some signals concerning some wintry precipitation across parts of the Deep South Sunday/Sun night. The GFS has trended toward the drier European model; if we do see any snow over the northern half of Alabama it would most likely be light. Of course, this could change
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The question is. What does he mean by light ? Is light a couple of inches or is light nothing ?
 
Terrella44 said:
How about showing some love for the Gulf South States in trying to get some frozen precip???
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Wouldn't it be something special to have a little snow twice in one winter? Certainly not holding my breath here, but would be awesome to have a few flakes again. Enjoyed taking a walk while snow was falling a few short weeks ago, sure would be fun to do it again.
 
Based on 12z CMC / Goofy runs, this could be trouble for folks in Atlanta on NYE & NYD, not to mention the Peach Bowl festivities downtown.
 
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