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6/14-6/15 Severe Weather

This would be not great for the Birmingham metro this afternoon. Not sure it would be a huge tornado threat but probably some massive hail View attachment 135447

My guess would be the highest tornado will probably occur in the book end vortex. Im definitely much more concerned with a Derecho than individual Supercells ATM.

*Edit: That said, that run was a scary look.
 
Could be a bad situation unfolding for Tallahassee if it holds together
 
Meanwhile, the threat is escalating quickly for TX and OK later today. We've gone from a Slight Risk yesterday to a high end Moderate Risk as of this morning.

It's been a sleeper, but it's a grossly underrated setup. Impressive instability, shear and jet dynamics, especially for mid-June.

The main thing that's somewhat lacking is low level shear.
 
Low level shear is unimpressive (for now), but otherwise, talk about a powder keg...

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