Looks like SE Florida could see another significant rainfall tonight into Monday night. HRRR trending towards stronger thunderstorms reaching the Coastal Broward County.
Looking at the latest
hi-res model guidance and the 12Z MFL
sounding, there will be potential for a
few strong to severe storms later today. Rich low-level
moisture and
diurnal heating will lead to plenty of
instability in the
atmosphere. Model soundings show increased values of effective
shear and
MLCAPE this afternoon ,500mb temps will also be around -10 to -11C with modest lapse rates. The stronger storms will be possible mainly over the interior then spreading east to the east coast.
Isolated strong to damaging winds and small to marginally severe
hail will be possible. Heavy
rainfall may lead to localized flooding,especially over areas that are still saturated and still trying to drain from the recent flooding event. While less confidence in
tornado potential, there may be a chance for funnel clouds or a brief
tornado with any cells that move towards and interact with the Atlantic seabreeze.
forecast.weather.gov