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Mountain/Foothills Discussion and Observation Thread

SNOWMANN

SNOWMANN

Formerly Mcdowell_Weather
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Thought it might be a good idea to have a separate thread for Mountain posters and people traveling to the mountains. Post away 36° and fog in Blowing Rock. I also like the chances for maybe some snow showers Friday night into Saturday.
 
Cataloochee had a really good start being open for Thanksgiving, but that quickly nosedived as we entered December. I truly think those above 3000' will have some good opportunities for some northwest flows while the rest of us have some average to slightly below days behind transient fronts. It would really be nice for that area to get a blizzard of 96 redux...
 
Yeah the forecast looks good starting the end of this week for snow making. I'm hoping maybe we get some flow snow Friday night even if it's just a dusting.
 
I think some freezing rain or fog is possible before 11:00 a.m. in the morning in WNC especially along the Blue ridge Escarpment where cool pockets of around freezing can develop and hang on longer.
 
SNOWMANN said:
I think some freezing rain or fog is possible before 11:00 a.m. in the morning in WNC especially along the Blue ridge Escarpment where cool pockets of around freezing can develop and hang on longer.
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Already down to 31 degrees here. However, it will probably warm up some when the overcast moves in. Wet bulb is 30 degrees so not much room for cooling. Will be watching for any early onset of precip.
 
I'm going to post this here to keep it out of the busy main thread right now, plus I'm technically in the foothills.
2.1" of rain from this system, and right at 7" for the month already.

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Anyone that can post their elevations somewhere in their bio would be much appreciated as well.
 
Cad Wedge NC said:
Holy, Moly, I need to temper my excitement. We just need to get it inside 72 hours. That's a tough task.
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At least where within an hour drive of snow if push comes to show the higher elevation will see something in the next ten days I'm sure.
 
GSP sounds optimistic.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 245 PM Friday: Very high uncertainty and very low confidence
in the forecast for the long term. That said, there is increasing
confidence in a very cold air mass settling over the area from
Friday onward. Model guidance shows a strong short wave diving into
the central US and digging an deep upper low over the eastern CONUS.
At the surface, Since the models handle the upper low differently,
they handle the resulting surface features differently as well. The
GFS has more of a Miller A type low, mainly Thursday night and
Friday with significant wintry precip potential. The ECMWF and
Canadian develop a warm front Wednesday night into Thursday with an
all liquid CAD event, a scouring cold front Thursday night, again
mainly liquid for all but the mountains, then some NW flow snow for
Friday. The GEFS mean has a Carolina coastal low developing Thursday
with liquid precip, then more of a clipper type system on Friday
with any wintry precip mainly for the mountains. Given the
uncertainty, have gone with the model blend which has PoP increasing
Wednesday night, maximizing Thursday, tapering off Thursday night,
and dry for Friday. This has the best chance of wintry precip over
the mountains and the I-40 corridor with a mix of rain and snow
along the I-85 corridor and rain to the south. Precip would end as
snow. Obviously, this forecast should not be taken as gospel as it
will likely change given the uncertainty. Temps, however, may be
more certain with readings about 5 degrees below normal Wednesday,
10 below normal Thursday, and 20 below normal Friday.
 
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