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Wintry 3/10-13 Winter Weather

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ENS are being skewed HEAVILY by 1 or 2 members. Cold chasing moisture very rarely ever works out for anywhere but the mountains. Now if a secondary low can pop like on the NAM, its a whole new ballgame, but more than likely not going to happen. Flakes will fly, but such a small window for accumulations....bring Spring!
 
DadOfJax said:
ENS are being skewed HEAVILY by 1 or 2 members. Cold chasing moisture very rarely ever works out for anywhere but the mountains. Now if a secondary low can pop like on the NAM, its a whole new ballgame, but more than likely not going to happen. Flakes will fly, but such a small window for accumulations....bring Spring!
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True enough cold chasing moisture rarely works out, but this is not quite that....this system is developing in the cold air. .The moisture is riding behind the front before it develops in the front of the boundary. But the Lp needs to be a litttle farter south or stronger and more neg for me to feel good about snow.
 
ICON for what its worth was better and south
icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_25.png

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From NWS in BHM. They seem to believe it n decent chance of light accumulation from I-20 north. The timing is in our favor for now. Would like to see GFS/GEFS and Euro/EPS come back south from the 06z runs. NAM and ICON are def goof starts to 12z.

I’ll take a coating all day.
 
If im lucky I’ll see a dusting in Maggie valley at this point. My thinking is the cold and the moisture going to have a difficult time getting over the Tennessee side of the border.


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