Ok, here are some thoughts on first call. Buckle up!!
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Wintry Winter Storm Call maps
- Thread starter deltadog03
- Start date
that’s very close to what I’m thinking so I’m not even gonna do one. Good job. I’m watching for any last minute qpf reductions in case heavy snow amounts do not occur north of i40.
Then why Mt .Rodgers? I get the warm nose thing but I'd seriously consider highlands Brevard area.
ATLwxfan
Member
Looks pretty good. Not too sure about the backside sleet or snow for GA and points west into AL. End of the NAM was meh. Maybe it juices up but I’m not too enthused.
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
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Come up to Roanoke! We are right on the line for sleet. If there is any shift SE in the models then we are all snow going from 10 inches to 16 inches most likely
It’s just very close to home to me and it’s the highest elevation in the state of Virginia. It’s a unique spot not many realize it’s practically on our state border and I prefer to stay with NWS Blacksburg since they cover Wilkes.
LickWx
Member
Are you saying your going to be on top of a 5000 foot mountain that’s all wilderness in the middle of a major storm ?
That's the reason he is worried about connecting with emergency services.
Idk why my reply said bull city ex lol
ATLwxfan
Member
Avalanche
Member
Do you have a CB radio? Just in case you get out of cell phone range its good to have for backup. Mine gets out about 50 miles. It can save a life.
iGRXY
Member
First call map. This is going to change no doubt. Mountains are going to get hammered with this storm. 12"+ totals especially along the BR parkway. Definitely think along and north of 85, especially in the upstate and the mountains of NE Georgia will finish with 4-6" of snow after the sleet cuts down on some of the totals. If you go measure outside with sleet included you probably will get above 6" in a lot of places. A glaze to 0.1" of ZR as well. along and SE of 85 and through the Central upstate I think 2-4" Should be a good bet especially with that backside band, but a lot more ICE and sleet. Through the southern upstate, midlands, and most of the I20 corridor is where I think we are set up for a Major Ice storm.
Good first call map. All in all, a big wintery mess
Good maps. If I did one the only difference I would make is 12-24” range from Crumpler NC into Virginia up and past Mount Rogers.
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Great map and probably pretty close. It's been 2893 days since CAE recorded measurable snow/ice (Feb 12, 2014) will this break the streak?
weather bubba
Member
Speaking for those of us who love having power in the pink area on your map, I hope this forecast does not pan out. At this time though I think your map is a pretty good call. It's time to start preparing for the worst and hoping for the best.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
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First call local news in VA
Looks like an alien ? lol good job though
Well played sir. Although it seems VA is the real target, since they were left out entirely. ?
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
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2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
update from me later.
iGRXY
Member
May do a final call map again tomorrow based on new data and seeing how we are progressing with the system. Mountains are going to get hammered. Especially along the escarpment where we will get extra lift. Front end bump of snow is looking more and more likely for areas along and west of I77 initially. Biggest winners in the upstate will be the northern upstate along and north of 85 (Inman, Landrum, Chesnee, TR, Pickens, Salem) where it looks to get a quick 2-5"+ (potentially more towards the border) in the initial band with maybe 1-3" on the backside. Further west you are the higher that number will be as that is mostly ULL driven. Areas just south of 85 look good for the front and back end snow as well but a bit more sleet/ICE mixes here. Areas south of there are dealing with a lot more ICE and sleet like Anderson, Union, Charlotte. Major ICE storm over the central/southern upstate, along and north of I20 towards south charlotte and the metro area. I am not sold on any backend snow for areas along and east of 77 right now if the ULL travels more over the Western Carolinas.
Final call maybe.....
Clem282340
Member
That looks like 5-9 inches in Pickens county can you go a little south so we can see sc
Busy map and very typical with these types of systems. I thought about making a map then realized how much a pain in the butt it would have been. I'll ride your map and others! Good job.
no doubt....I always forget how busy these maps are. They get very messy for sure, but my OCD doesn't allow for me to not try and make it as clean as possible..lol Thank you!
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
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2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Peter Forister made a map for Virginia. Very smart guy and I agree with a lot of this map.
Here’s my attempt at a map for Atlanta. Didn’t have time to do one for all of Georgia and the Southeast. This is based on the fact that I believe the wedge will come in a couple degrees colder than previously forecasted for most of the Atlanta metro area.
For the snow, most of the higher totals on the north side are based on the scenario where we get the changeover to all snow early in the morning for a couple hours. If that ends up not happening, then I would expect a widespread 1” with the backside stuff everywhere north of 20 and that’s it.
I think the freezing rain becomes a bigger story. 12z HRRR lays out the blueprint for how this becomes much more than a nuisance event. This map could easily bust high.
Goes with out saying but I’m in no way a certified meteorologist. Just a guy with a passion who’s been following this for a week with the rest of you. Good luck everyone!!
For the snow, most of the higher totals on the north side are based on the scenario where we get the changeover to all snow early in the morning for a couple hours. If that ends up not happening, then I would expect a widespread 1” with the backside stuff everywhere north of 20 and that’s it.
I think the freezing rain becomes a bigger story. 12z HRRR lays out the blueprint for how this becomes much more than a nuisance event. This map could easily bust high.
Goes with out saying but I’m in no way a certified meteorologist. Just a guy with a passion who’s been following this for a week with the rest of you. Good luck everyone!!
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
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2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
iGRXY
Member
Final Call Map. I feel very confident that we're going to see a strong initial thump of snow in the upstate and probably finish with a decent thump as well. The track of the ULL and what seems like it is taking a much further southernly track at the moment is giving me growing confidence that a lot of places along and west of 77 may see an additional 1-2". Gradients will be tight with the mountains getting several inches but some sleet and ZR look to be mixing in more and more so that's something to watch. The northern upstate really has a good shot of getting 2-5" in that initial hit before we switch over to sleet and ZR in the mid morning before switching back over around late lunch time. Greenville, Spartanburg, Gaffney look like 2-4" all together is a real possibility. Below that is an Inch. The growing ice concern looks to have positioned itself in the central and southern upstate through the south metro of Charlotte where I expect a major ice storm to take place.