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Misc September Segue

Well I guess it's safe to say that September has not disappointed in how active it has been. Not to mention how clues the models have been on these hurricanes we have been tracking. Oh and what about this bleeping heat!
 
whatalife said:
Well I guess it's safe to say that September has not disappointed in how active it has been. Not to mention how clues the models have been on these hurricanes we have been tracking. Oh and what about this bleeping heat!
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Huh? I thought it was still August? LOL This heat has been annoying. Tracking the storms is only going to continue for the next month I bet. If the CMC is right, we will have 2 new systems a week from now.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Huh? I thought it was still August? LOL This heat has been annoying. Tracking the storms is only going to continue for the next month I bet. If the CMC is right, we will have 2 new systems a week from now.
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It's not really that unusual to have upper 80s, near 90 in late September, our average high here is still in the low 80s. Plus I remember still seeing 80s well into October back in 2010 and since we like to speculate on whether certain weather patterns in the past have any correlation on Winter...well, it was a snowy winter that season (2010/2011) and we had a La Nina develop so....
 
Paging GaWx (or someone who can answer) ...

Perhaps someone else has posted something, but earlier this year the consecutive month string of above average temps was broken for ATL ... it seems as if August was cooler as well and now maybe September, unless these last few days really push us back up. Have we been below normal for consecutive months now??
 
Weatherlover92 said:
It's not really that unusual to have upper 80s, near 90 in late September, our average high here is still in the low 80s. Plus I remember still seeing 80s well into October back in 2010 and since we like to speculate on whether certain weather patterns in the past have any correlation on Winter...well, it was a snowy winter that season (2010/2011) and we had a La Nina develop so....
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I agree. My average high is 81 degrees today and the all time record was 99 degrees back in 1953. So temps like we are having this week of 84-87 degrees are not out of the norm at all. The latest 90 degree reading I found was 92 degrees on October 9th 2007.
 
SD said:
I hate this pattern I'm happy to see the models lowering heights in the east

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I igree Shane, i hate this pattern too. So ready for some colder air, holiday seasons, tracking winterstorms.
 
gfs_T2m_us_48.png
Well we dont have a October thread yet, but while everyone is focus on Jose and Maria, my attention is gonna be here little more. Hopefully signs to come.
 
GFS has given up on any notion of a significant pattern shift at the end of the month. Looks like the ridge is digging in.


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ATLwxfan said:
GFS has given up on any notion of a significant pattern shift at the end of the month. Looks like the ridge is digging in.


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Let it dig rest of this month, all of October, November and heck I'll sacrifice most of Dec maybe by then it will be tired of digging and let go! Lol
 
ATLwxfan said:
GFS has given up on any notion of a significant pattern shift at the end of the month. Looks like the ridge is digging in.


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It'll probably be d10 or so before we get a cold front

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the upcoming scandy ridge could be a big player in the rest of the fall. If it retrogrades into the -NAO region we could be looking at a chilly october
 
I like what the 12z gfs was showing around the 300 hr range, low 60s upper 50s for highs and 40/50s at night. Long range, but this something thats been advertising the past few runs.
 
SD said:
the upcoming scandy ridge could be a big player in the rest of the fall. If it retrogrades into the -NAO region we could be looking at a chilly october
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Oh god, please no!! Those cold Octobers are the kiss of death for a good winter! Oct goes BN, then we go AN , Nov-Feb! :(
 
metwannabe said:
Let it dig rest of this month, all of October, November and heck I'll sacrifice most of Dec maybe by then it will be tired of digging and let go! Lol
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Backloaded winters, the new norm, FTL
 
Tarheel1 said:
Oh god, please no!! Those cold Octobers are the kiss of death for a good winter! Oct goes BN, then we go AN , Nov-Feb! :(
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I'm not a fan of -nao falls but take what you can get and it looks more like a -ao pattern than -nao. Regardless I think october has a chance to be near to slightly below normal for most of the region with the warmest anomalies in the carolinas. I think precip is near normal with the caveat being a tropical system.

I find the gefs/gfs interesting in that it tries to weakly disturb the strat pv a bit in the coming weeks.

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SD said:
Our D0 will be D3 by spring

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My back yard is in D4 already! It's dusty ! A good 12+ inch snow we are going to get in January , will really help and get me back to D0
 
Can't remember the last time we had a cold December. Was it 2010 ? All I know i that for whatever reason, winters lately have gotten a late start.
 
Pattern looking good so far on the gfs long range. Lets hope its stays that way.
 
Ring of Fire type weather pattern today. Some huge storms around the edges of the US, rotating around high pressure and warm temperatures.
 
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