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Misc August Auguring

metwannabe said:
No surprise here...

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The only map that means a hill of beans is the one that shows the GSP market

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Storm5 said:
Dont you know to ride the CMC
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Ill take the under on either model run. Matter of fact Ill go with less than .5 at my house over the next 14 days

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Lord have mercy.
It's been raining since 8:00 AM, with only three brief interludes. Would love for some folks up north in SC and NC to have some of it ... LOL

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Storm5 said:
Ill take that bet easy win . Loser has to spend a day with JHS

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Haven't had more than .4 in a single day or week since 6/23 why would it change now

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Just a quick queston, but what does the upper air dynamics look like towards next week? I see that there will be significant troughing based on the models. Do y'all see it turning out to sea or possibly affecting the SE?
 
DustinWX said:
Just a quick queston, but what does the upper air dynamics look like towards next week? I see that there will be significant troughing based on the models. Do y'all see it turning out to sea or possibly affecting the SE?
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No expert here - just a FL boy - but until there is a storm and until data can be ingested from a storm, it's only a crapshoot; having said as much, the EC ought to look at this ... 2¢ ...
Phil
 
DustinWX said:
Just a quick queston, but what does the upper air dynamics look like towards next week? I see that there will be significant troughing based on the models. Do y'all see it turning out to sea or possibly affecting the SE?
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Hard to tell. There was mention by Webber that the GFS has a northern bias, and that based on that info, seeing models like the UKMET go further south, it could end up being south of the Greater Antilles or just along them from what I can see. However, if it gets very strong early, it could miss the southeast easily, or not. Give it a week and we should know exactly the area it is headed, just not the exact location.
 
I think this summer is offically over. I think we all deserved this after last summer. Today was amazing. Don't think it got out of the 70s this afternoon with a nice breeze.
 
DustinWX said:
Just a quick queston, but what does the upper air dynamics look like towards next week? I see that there will be significant troughing based on the models. Do y'all see it turning out to sea or possibly affecting the SE?
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It depends on how everything will set up with the trough and the Atlantic ridge. Right now, it's too early in the game to detemine that a hurricane will effect the SE for sure. As of right now, the tropical wave does look healthy and it will most likely develop into a named storm & it will track on a westerly track for a good ways.

- Don

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Looks like there's a good chance of storms here for 7 straight days starting Sunday.
 
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Thunderstorms along the coast are screwing with development up this way

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Storm5 said:
Not according to SD . He says less than .5 through day 13 now .

#havefunwithjhs


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Doing well so far. We can chat when the radar has something within 20 miles
 
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Storm5 said:
Ill take that bet easy win . Loser has to spend a day with JHS

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Storm5 said:
Thunderstorms along the coast are screwing with development up this way

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Get use to that, it'll happen a lot Dec-March! :(
 
I can't Auger ----, the ground is like concrete! No rain close today ! Tha wet weekend is pushed back to Tuesday maybe! I honestly believe the models are not picking up on the blossoming drought, and therefor,show huge modeled rain totals, only to correct to little/non as we get closer! The whole " drought breeds drought" scenario! :(
 
Visiting SD's stomping grounds, and brought my rain shield , not that he needed help! No rain within 200 miles
 
Tarheel1 said:
Visiting SD's stomping grounds, and brought my rain shield , not that he needed help! No rain within 200 miles
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Dont worry the dew points in the 50s tomorrow will send the instability sky high!!!! I too find the push back in time humorous it was thursday then today then it pushed to Sunday now its looking more like Monday or Tuesday. I'll believe it when its raining right now its nothing more than a snow clown map or day 12 hurricane.

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That line of storms to my west really wants to suck me in but nope

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SD said:
Dont worry the dew points in the 50s tomorrow will send the instability sky high!!!! I too find the push back in time humorous it was thursday then today then it pushed to Sunday now its looking more like Monday or Tuesday. I'll believe it when its raining right now its nothing more than a snow clown map or day 12 hurricane.

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Well , WxSouth just posted that it looks like a wet pattern setting up next week, but unfortunately , most likely setting up in the TN valley! :(
Will probably be right! The low humidity in Roxboro, was refreshing this evening, with a slight breeze, and gazing off to the SW Sky , and seeing the awesome thunderstorms about to Rock CLT , and miss GSP and RAH
 
Tarheel1 said:
Well , WxSouth just posted that it looks like a wet pattern setting up next week, but unfortunately , most likely setting up in the TN valley! :(
Will probably be right! The low humidity in Roxboro, was refreshing this evening, with a slight breeze, and gazing off to the SW Sky , and seeing the awesome thunderstorms about to Rock CLT , and miss GSP and RAH
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Don't call this done for either of us yet. That's still a decent band of storms going from near Gaffney to near Pickens.
 
JHS said:
Don't call this done for either of us yet. That's still a decent band of storms going from near Gaffney to near Pickens.
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It hit a wall on the southern movement and moving due east! :(
 
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