• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical Hurricane Isaias

iGrey_X said:
Even with the hurricane being stronger I just don’t see that ridge allowing it to get pushed East. I think we may end up having a strong hurricane that is getting pushed into the coast.
Click to expand...
The ridge is strong and most likely prevents even a stronger hurricane from turning OTS... however that trough to the west is gonna prevent it from going to far to the west. Perhaps what we might see is a longer due north movement with a landfall more around Charleston and moving north inland through eastern SC and central and eastern NC before going NNE
 
Downeastnc said:
if it fills in the SW quad and has a good Dmax period then game on.....my question for you is given the current setup/environment do you think its more likely that the storm tries to stay steady state and expand the CDO/winds or will it stay small and just try to bomb out some....
Click to expand...

I think in its present environment with somewhat low relative humidity and high background sea level pressure in the absence of eyewall replacement cycles, this will try to deepen and remain small until it begins to interact w/ the mid-latitude jet
 
Looks like the Euro has it riding up the east coast of FL, then back out to sea and into Charleston and up the Triangle of NC.
 
Brick Tamland said:
Looks like the Euro has it riding up the east coast of FL, then back out to sea and into Charleston and up the Triangle of NC.
Click to expand...
Given the strength of the WAR and the trough to the west, a track similar to that would make sense
 
I mean what’s there to stop it from getting to cat 2? I think it gets to cat 2 by morning


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Jessy89 said:
I mean what’s there to stop it from getting to cat 2? I think it gets to cat 2 by morning


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Levi makes the point that despite the center wrapping around, there is still a good amount of shear and dry air to the southwest that should remain from now until it turns north. While it has proven to be able to fight this better, if there is a weakness in the eyewall, some dry air could briefly make it into the center, and weaken it slightly. Even though Isaias shouldn't weaken too much, this feature should keep it from undergoing a strong period of rapid intensification.

 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top