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Pattern May-hem

Storm5 said:
50s on Friday !!! Yes please


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Not a bad look at all for early May ...

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gfs_T2m_us_18.png


gfs_T2m_us_20.png

:D

Your Curmudgeon For The Day ...
 
Here we go again... A decent MJO pulse is about to make its presence known over the Indian ocean, sadly the Euro is the only model that has a decent handle on it atm, the GFS is completely lost as usual w/ initialization in the W hem. An IO MJO pulse could re-ignite a favorable planetary wave configuration for severe weather over the US & esp traditional tornado alley during the 3rd week of May.
ECMF_phase_51m_full.gif
 
Webberweather53 said:
Here we go again... A decent MJO pulse is about to make its presence known over the Indian ocean, sadly the Euro is the only model that has a decent handle on it atm, the GFS is completely lost as usual w/ initialization in the W hem. An IO MJO pulse could re-ignite a favorable planetary wave configuration for severe weather over the US & esp traditional tornado alley during the 3rd week of May.
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Dadgum am I glad to see you back!
Best!
Phil
 
Webberweather53 said:
Here we go again... A decent MJO pulse is about to make its presence known over the Indian ocean, sadly the Euro is the only model that has a decent handle on it atm, the GFS is completely lost as usual w/ initialization in the W hem. An IO MJO pulse could re-ignite a favorable planetary wave configuration for severe weather over the US & esp traditional tornado alley during the 3rd week of May.
View attachment 543
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Webb - Here's liking "could" as opposed to "will" ...
Best!
Phil
Your Neighborhood Curmudgeon For The Night
 
Webberweather53 said:
Here we go again... A decent MJO pulse is about to make its presence known over the Indian ocean, sadly the Euro is the only model that has a decent handle on it atm, the GFS is completely lost as usual w/ initialization in the W hem. An IO MJO pulse could re-ignite a favorable planetary wave configuration for severe weather over the US & esp traditional tornado alley during the 3rd week of May.
View attachment 543
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yeah noticed that... hope the euro is on to something... ready for least one good shot of a big severe event over the mid south region
 
SoutheastRidge said:
Were you in Minnesota by any chance ? The high in Atlanta on 5-05-16 was 67.
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Not at all. I was here and the temp was around 4pm that day, but in the upper 40s. Highs also don't mean the temp at that time, but rather the highest temp in the entire day, so the high could be at 1 am. Forgot what happened exactly, but all I know was it rained and was that cold, even after the sun came out.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Not at all. I was here and the temp was around 4pm that day, but in the upper 40s. Highs also don't mean the temp at that time, but rather the highest temp in the entire day, so the high could be at 1 am. Forgot what happened exactly, but all I know was it rained and was that cold, even after the sun came out.
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I can sort of confirm this by looking at Athens' hourly data for 5/5/16:
https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS/IPS-5F590E3F-2149-478A-B771-54E384AC2DA2.pdf

If you look at the 2nd page, you can see that 0.12" of rain fell between 14 and 16 EDT (2-4 PM). Then go two pages further down and you'll see that Athens was up at 61 at hour 13 (1 PM) with a dewpoint of 38 but down to only 52 at hour 16 (4 PM) with a dewpoint of 47 after 0.12" of rain had fallen the prior 2 hours/visibility was then down to only 4 miles.

With Athens at 52 at 4 PM, northern Forsyth county being in the high 40's is consistent. By the way, these same charts for ATL showed them then with 63 and a dewpoint of 39 with only a trace of rainfall having fallen.
 
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GaWx said:
I can sort of confirm this by looking at Athens' hourly data for 5/5/16:
https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS/IPS-5F590E3F-2149-478A-B771-54E384AC2DA2.pdf

If you look at the 2nd page, you can see that 0.12" of rain fell between 14 and 16 EDT (2-4 PM). Then go two pages further down and you'll see that Athens was up at 61 at hour 13 (1 PM) with a dewpoint of 38 but down to only 52 at hour 16 (4 PM) with a dewpoint of 47 after 0.12" of rain had fallen the prior 2 hours/visibility was then down to only 4 miles.

With Athens at 52 at 4 PM, Cumming being in the high 40's is consistent. By the way, these same charts for ATL showed them then with 63 and a dewpoint of 39 with only a trace of rainfall having fallen.
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et dona nobis pacem ... ;)
 
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... and who really wants to know when the latest temp in the 40's was in Gainesville?

I'll spare everyone the pain ... :cool:
 
One things for sure. Cool weather doesn't last long in May ! 50s on Fri and then back to 80 by Tues or Wed !
 
Hard to believe we can get such cool temps with such a strong sun angle. Sun angle is equivalent to early August right now. Why can't we get this kind of cool weather in early August ?
 
Yeah. I remember cinco de mayo last year. I had the heat on that afternoon with showers and 40s. It was warmer earlier in the day. Looks similar this year.


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Storm5 said:
Man I'll take that upper level low around day 8 with temps in the 60s and rain


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That sounds miserable. We should be getting into beach weather now.
 
Wow. The radar blossomed quickly over North GA the past hour...its been pouring sheets here for about half an hour now. Looks like we see well more than what was foretasted if this continues...sitting at 0.69 at the moment for today.
 
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Let's see where the models go as time progresses and then on out past truncation, but through the 10th, looks to be much cooler than normal, for sure ...

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