I'm not trying to sound mean or anything... but are drunk or on something? That made zero sense.
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Pattern June Presented by: Heat and Humidity
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
I'm not trying to sound mean or anything... but are drunk or on something? That made zero sense.
The initial lee trough convection is likely hampering the environment and giving a more hodgepodge look with the better upper support later in the evening. Not sure if that will be reality or just a model thing
BufordWX
Member
You don’t often find this wet of a model run for parts of the southeast in summer without a tropical system being involved...
LOL at the "mini desert" over Nashville and especially ATL.
NoSnowATL
Member
It’s dusty
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
True.
Yeah, that Saharan Dust plume really ended a lot farther south, then what was initially forecasted.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Should be the worst in NC tomorrow.
JHS
Member
12z nam says no MCS tomorrow or Monday in SC or most of NC. Bone dry in fact.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
JHS
Member
Sorry about that. I was looking at the 6z nam I guess. 12z is indeed much wetter for NC and somewhat wetter for northern SC
accu35
Member
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That's the whole point, he never makes any sense when he acts this way. I've seen a few of his post where he somewhat on point with what's going on and the rest garbage. As long as people even me show him attention by his stupidity than he's gonna keep going on with it. SMH, sometimes I feel like we have a 5 year old kid up in here. Take this to banter please
BufordWX
Member
Looks like some nice storms have formed back in Alabama. I wonder how they will behave as they move into Georgia.
It’s wicked out here man! Never seen anything like it. One for the history books
JHS
Member
Things get more interesting and tricky Sun, when the models bring an
energetic h5 s/w from the northwest to the FA by mid afternoon. This
will combine with a destabilizing atmos as all models indicate
increasing sbCAPE on the order of at least 1500 J/kg. The models
also show a developing llvl jet to arnd 30 kts during the afternoon
across the nrn zones. So...the ingredients will be there for a
possible organized lines of convection capable of producing severe
level winds as they form across the NC mtns then propagates east
thru the NC piedmont during the afternoon and early evening. There
is still moderate uncertainty as to exactly where the potential lines
may form as the NAM is further south into the NC zones than the GFS,
which keeps the better forcing and subsequent convec line mostly
north and east of the FA. This will be a situation to keep an eye
on. Max temps will be warmer than today in better insol with
readings right arnd normal.
GSP's take on tomorrow.
energetic h5 s/w from the northwest to the FA by mid afternoon. This
will combine with a destabilizing atmos as all models indicate
increasing sbCAPE on the order of at least 1500 J/kg. The models
also show a developing llvl jet to arnd 30 kts during the afternoon
across the nrn zones. So...the ingredients will be there for a
possible organized lines of convection capable of producing severe
level winds as they form across the NC mtns then propagates east
thru the NC piedmont during the afternoon and early evening. There
is still moderate uncertainty as to exactly where the potential lines
may form as the NAM is further south into the NC zones than the GFS,
which keeps the better forcing and subsequent convec line mostly
north and east of the FA. This will be a situation to keep an eye
on. Max temps will be warmer than today in better insol with
readings right arnd normal.
GSP's take on tomorrow.
If I can get blowing dust and sand to come pay me a visit all the way from the Saharan desert then I don’t think it’s asking much to get a 8-10” blowing snowstorm. I’m due.
Will the dust make it as far north as the Triangle or no?
Not sure. Based on MPING it looks like Charlotte is the dividing line. Maybe it has a tendency to stay inland and further west? @Myfrotho704_ anything up your way?
BufordWX
Member
The dust seems to have cleared out of here quite a bit the last few hours. I can actually see blue sky for the first time in a few days.
NoSnowATL
Member
Just in time for the rain.
This morning it was actually more clear, definitely some dust here, probably rotating anticyclonically into areas East
Hrrr shows organized line segments/multicells tomorrow, probably gonna have damaging winds as the main threat
Those storms in the northern ATL burbs are really bowing. Bet there is some wind gust over 65. I am hoping I get some storms in Nashville today, there is development to my west. And then hopefully I get home in time for the storms tomorrow. What time frame are we looking at @Myfrotho704_ ?
ATLwxfan
Member
Hope we get some of that ITP. It is brutally hot and humid today.
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I'm sure you will. They looked like they are a tad weaker now, but I bet you get something.
Probably gonna be clusters of storms starting around 2 lasting into the night
JHS
Member
Looks like much of the ATL metro about to get hit.
BufordWX
Member
Looks like the storms are losing their punch a bit right now. I am probably gonna get some wind and rain, but it doesn’t look like anything too special.
Edit: As soon as I say something looks like it may be blowing back up a bit.
Edit: As soon as I say something looks like it may be blowing back up a bit.
Last edited:
ATLwxfan
Member
Here it comes...almost like a derecho
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
BufordWX
Member
Yep, just got very windy here
Got real windy real quick, then immediately downpoured. Not fun driving through it. A lot of lightning and thunder behind the line.
CraggyRider
Member
I am seeing it here; the ridge across the valley has been hazy all day like it does during a light rain but it isn't raining (or light snow). I suspected it might be the dust from afar.
Not sure this really does it justice:
Compare to clear air after it snowed:
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BufordWX
Member
Had a huge downpour as that line moved through along with some solid wind gusts (40-50 mph). I ended up getting over half an inch of rain in about 10 minutes. Looks like I will see some more lighter showers for the next hour or so still as well.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
That was a huge storm here. Massive gusts on the onset but the rain wasn't as bad as I thought it would be.
Good example of a surprise MCS in north GA, Trailing stratiform? Check
Rear Inflow jet aiding in the Bowing segment ? Check
Rotating MCV ?
getting there
Bowing convection with strong downdrafts?
check
Rear Inflow jet aiding in the Bowing segment ? Check
Rotating MCV ?
getting there
Bowing convection with strong downdrafts?
check
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Definitely could see the Saharan Dust when I was out today. It was so hazy.