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Pattern Hotober

No cool down this weekend but marked improvement for next week and beyond in terms of rain chances and fall-like temps. It could all change but favorable trends today.


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Marked increase for Carolinas this happy hour
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NWS has us at 69 for a high on Saturday. If that pans out will be the first sub 70 high since May. First forties for lows also possible.
 
Weekly drought map is out!
Oct 1 vs 8. Drought rapidly expanding.

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Yeah drought officially spreading like wildfire now, hopefully we can knock this back a little over the next 10 days but I'm not too optimistic. Models been all over the place with LR qpf and their track record hasn't been that great. I'm starting to think like Mack, drought begets drought.
 
Yeah drought officially spreading like wildfire now, hopefully we can knock this back a little over the next 10 days but I'm not too optimistic. Models been all over the place with LR qpf and their track record hasn't been that great. I'm starting to think like Mack, drought begets drought.

Makes sense from a logical standpoint. Dry areas tend to stay dry. Fronts get squeezed dry very fast over our areas now.

we will need some type of major fall system to come through to put any major dent into the drought.

until we see some type of low pressure system over the Southeast I doubt we get much relief.
 
I live in the "Extreme Drought" and let me tell you, its bad. We went over 35 days without rain, and all the ponds around here are turning into puddles.
I'm still counting because all the "rain" we've had hasn't been more than a trace since whenever in August we got rain.
 
I’ve lived beside the Reedy river for 15 years now, it’s the lowest I have ever seen!?
 
needa stay away from a fall front with dry downsloping flow but with a strong LLvL jet, now that’s perfect conditions for a fire
 
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