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Pattern Hotober

Rain chances absolutely vanished in GFS. May go all of October with under a 1/2 in of rain.


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ATLwxfan said:
Rain chances absolutely vanished in GFS. May go all of October with under a 1/2 in of rain.


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I never expect rain in October . Historically our driest month of the year , my area that is


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Storm5 said:
I never expect rain in October . Historically our driest month of the year , my area that is


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True but 18z yesterday gave us two big hits and then backed off. Who knows.


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Woke this morning a little chilled (I open my window when possible). Looked at the current conditions to see 67 or 68 with a full deck of clouds and a NE wind. Did not expect to see that or to see clouds across the state. I guess these clouds probably will burn off eventually.
 
The clouds are just now showing signs of burning off in the last 10-15 minutes or so. At home we somehow slipped to 66 on the thermometer after 68 was my dad's "wake up" time temperature. I think he'll end up recording 78 or so later this afternoon possibly.

The NWS ended up lowering the high predicted by a few degrees.
 
It's been an absolute dreamland here in Athens today. Cloudy, slightly breezy and temps in the low to mid 60s this morning. Slight mist at times. I could deal with this all year round (again, only a dream. lol)
 
I don't care how but this pollen has to go... my car is caked in crap and everyones allergies are going crazy
 
No cool down this weekend but marked improvement for next week and beyond in terms of rain chances and fall-like temps. It could all change but favorable trends today.


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Marked increase for Carolinas this happy hour
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NWS has us at 69 for a high on Saturday. If that pans out will be the first sub 70 high since May. First forties for lows also possible.
 
Fountainguy97 said:
Weekly drought map is out!
Oct 1 vs 8. Drought rapidly expanding.

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Yeah drought officially spreading like wildfire now, hopefully we can knock this back a little over the next 10 days but I'm not too optimistic. Models been all over the place with LR qpf and their track record hasn't been that great. I'm starting to think like Mack, drought begets drought.
 
metwannabe said:
Yeah drought officially spreading like wildfire now, hopefully we can knock this back a little over the next 10 days but I'm not too optimistic. Models been all over the place with LR qpf and their track record hasn't been that great. I'm starting to think like Mack, drought begets drought.
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Makes sense from a logical standpoint. Dry areas tend to stay dry. Fronts get squeezed dry very fast over our areas now.

we will need some type of major fall system to come through to put any major dent into the drought.

until we see some type of low pressure system over the Southeast I doubt we get much relief.
 
Snowflowxxl said:
I live in the "Extreme Drought" and let me tell you, its bad. We went over 35 days without rain, and all the ponds around here are turning into puddles.
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I'm still counting because all the "rain" we've had hasn't been more than a trace since whenever in August we got rain.
 
I’ve lived beside the Reedy river for 15 years now, it’s the lowest I have ever seen!?
 
needa stay away from a fall front with dry downsloping flow but with a strong LLvL jet, now that’s perfect conditions for a fire
 
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