Prediction: the Palm Sunday weekend severe wx outbreak will not meet the most dire expectations. Believe it or not, I'm partially using past posts of
@Brick Tamland from other severe wx threats as guidance. With this outbreak appearing to be so dire, the odds imo favor that we will be pleasantly surprised. The worst outbreaks are often not forecasted such as was the case last month and vice versa. I think it has a lot to do with model biases that show up at this point in advance and thus mislead. So, I'm going with some severe wx, including tornadoes....so be on guard…..but nowhere near one of the worst. Let's see what actually happens.
Is anyone else going to make a similar prediction?