ATLwxfan
Member
I’m not sure we ever truly had a reason to say hello.
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I’m not sure we ever truly had a reason to say hello.
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Brent
Member
I wont lie I'm kind of looking forward to it after this winter
I'll probably be hating it after the first week or two of 95+ but yeah
NCCWOP9077
Member
Wowzer, SE Mass FTW
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Pivots and turns due east right on top of Cape Cod. That’s what rainstorms do hereWowzer, SE Mass FTW
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NCCWOP9077
Member
We know how to fail miserably this winter.
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ICON took a step in the right direction, trough lags a bit more, it reflected at the sfc by more precip
ICON can sniff things out like this, so it was pretty good to see it trend in a good way
It’s a nightmare for the Mets there, went from nothing to possibly a big storm, can we do the same with our coastal tho ?
And with the Saturday deal NW and deeper, the Sunday deal works out better for the MA...south shift. Everybody wins.
It’s far from done. The NE forum meltdown will be glorious tomorrow. Stay tuned
NCCWOP9077
Member
Wouldn't put it past the Saturday storm meeting blizzard criteria, those storms love to bomb out in that zone.
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Lol no joke one more tick and northern NC gets light snow
So far, gfs has headed for the right direction aswell, trough lagging a bit more, but that’s atm
snowlover91
Member
Energy digging down and west a bit more this run on the GFS. Interesting.
This is all that’s got to happen for a coastal storm to produce, get those lower heights in that circle along with stronger troughing than that would likely mean winter wx in parts of the SE, this applies below the circle aswell
snowlover91
Member
Definitely possible if we can get the right trend, like MA has gotten with their coastal bomb the past few days.
snowlover91
Member
CMC has a wave 3 that appears to start as something wintry.
ICON - better
GFS -better
Let’s see what happens with the rest
GFS -better
Let’s see what happens with the rest
I get so tired of hearing this phrase but the players were on the field yet again this winter and it looks like we’ll come away empty handed. Been a tough winter y’all. All we were really missing was a +PNA. Who am I kidding. We still would have whiffed
CMC doesn’t look good, maybe it can change tommorow but I said maybe lol
FV3 sucked at the SFC but trended a little bit better at H5 with the trough aswell, just that little lag
snowlover91
Member
Fv3 is pretty close with precip along the coast. At 5 days out it wouldn’t take much to get this inland, definitely possible still but I wouldn’t hold my breath.
snowlover91
Member
GFS actually has flurries now lol. It’s a small improvement.
What I’m wondering is whether we can get a band of snow to develop like some of the gefs ensemble members have picked up on, if that energy could just dive more SW or west just a tiny bit more, at least us in NC/SC can get a convective snow band to form, it’s evident by the sounding that it would be convective, but like you said it’s not to be expected atm
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Here were the few members from the last run that picked up on that idea of snow developing on the mountains/foothills then moving east off them transferring into the coastal giving NC and some of SC a decent band of snow 
olhausen
Member
00z gfs definitely took a turn for the better up here on the Sunday storm. I’ll get a lot more interested if the euro also shows this.
olhausen
Member
18z gfs
00z gfs. obviously some of this falls before temps are below freezing so it would be less snow then what’s shown on the clown map. Still a pretty big jump for one run though.
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00z gfs. obviously some of this falls before temps are below freezing so it would be less snow then what’s shown on the clown map. Still a pretty big jump for one run though.
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18z gfs
00z gfs. obviously some of this falls before temps are below freezing so it would be less snow then what’s shown on the clown map. Still a pretty big jump for one run though.
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Reason for the improvement is because the energy for this wave looks more sheared than thought which supports a slight south trend
snowlover91
Member
UK back with a decent coastal.
UK back with a decent coastal.
All I got to say is that’s good to have a good model back on board, i needa keep my optimism suppressed or this storm will be suppressed lol
snowlover91
Member
Gefs took a very slight better trend, notice the lower heights crawling back into the midwest, before it was going away
10 year anniversary. Never forget
hikingtheappalachians
Member
I think this'll be north from the previous run at least
Euro looks less suppressed prob because trof/ULL went west 
hikingtheappalachians
Member
Some precip makes it inland across SC/GA. Where is that freezing line though? 
Everyone's in the mid to upper 40s! Even if this moves NW more in subsequent runs, it's probably gonna have to be just right to lay down accumulating snow anywhere...
Everyone's in the mid to upper 40s! Even if this moves NW more in subsequent runs, it's probably gonna have to be just right to lay down accumulating snow anywhere...
Some precip makes it inland across SC/GA. Where is that freezing line though?
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Probably cause it’s 18z which I think is 2pm, it will probably get colder when sun goes down, also just assuming this but that warm layer at the surface is very shallow based off other models
hikingtheappalachians
Member
Yeah I was thinking if this happens at nighttime the chance for any noteworthy accumulations would be higher
hikingtheappalachians
Member
One more frame for NC folk
