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Pattern January thread part deux

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olhausen said:
Wow latest GFS run is really good for Tennessee and really a good portion of all the southeast looks good.
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It's been showing a lot of ongoing light snow in Tennessee for several runs now after the pattern flip, it might be true. The pattern certainly supports it. I don't know that it'll lead to a lot of accumulation outside of the mountains but even just light snow and a little accumulation can be pretty to look at.
 
Storm5 said:
we have more exciting news right around the corner and your not gonna wanna miss it
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Please tell me you have a super secret model that gives me a FLA flake or two next week ... LOL - This is a great upgrade folks! Thanks! Phil
 
Phil are your problems that you had with the last board solved?

I can't wait for our next threat.
 
The forum looks good.

Well, what do you know? The 12Z Para-GFS has snow for coastal TX and part of N Mexico way out there 2/2-3. For only entertainment.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
It's been showing a lot of ongoing light snow in Tennessee for several runs now after the pattern flip, it might be true. The pattern certainly supports it. I don't know that it'll lead to a lot of accumulation outside of the mountains but even just light snow and a little accumulation can be pretty to look at.
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Yes I think it might be one of those multiple day snows with just a little accumulation. I've seen it snow for 3 days straight here a few times but it never seems to add up after the first initial snow burst. Usually I'll see an inch at most out of clippers.But as I said the day before every once in a blue moon I can pick up 2-3 inches out of them.
 
Very nice! Like this format change! Much , much better! Now, let's chase some clippers!
 
I don't know that this actual pattern favors a storm developing during the coldest periods but one may happen during periods where it moderates slightly. Or...we could get lucky and see a northern stream system interact enough with the GOM to produce a light event.

It can happen but it'll have to be timed well. I still think we may see something at the end of the month and then the second week of February.
 
Let's hope tomorrow brings something nicer for the mid term. i.e., after 10 days (but if so, it'll flip again), but until then .... ' Night

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Hey Phil, I just changed something on the DNS (i made a thread about it). Besides having to relogin please let us know if any problems show back up!
 
Shawn said:
Hey Phil, I just changed something on the DNS (i made a thread about it). Besides having to relogin please let us know if any problems show back up!
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I had to re-log in, but I'm crashing soon - if any probs I'll let you know as soon as I notice 'em - was able to flip around OK on threads so that's all cool it seems. As you're working magic, please also just send me a dadgum few freezes - this is a winter like I've never, ever seen! You need a b¡†ch thread or a sanitarium thread for me to populate!
 
woo boy is it cold on the GFS, so far what I'm seeing at 500 isn't as impressive though as the 18z was.
 
LOL on the GFS a shortwave tries to come up from Mexico and it reaches the cold and is like "oh, nevermind".
 
energy everywhere on the 00z gfs
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damn nice ridging out west. placement will go back and forth but it's a great start
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Storm5 said:
energy everywhere on the 00z gfs
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damn nice ridging out west. placement will go back and forth but it's a great start
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Ridging out west is nice indeed, but damn sure could use some block on this side of the world - and there's nothing to suggest it'll happen - IMHO
 
pcbjr said:
Ridging out west is nice indeed, but damn sure could use some block on this side of the world - and there's nothing to suggest it'll happen - IMHO
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We all know blocking won't happen again until 2019, we can live without it, and score A plenty!
 
pcbjr said:
Ridging out west is nice indeed, but damn sure could use some block on this side of the world - and there's nothing to suggest it'll happen - IMHO
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Yeah we don't need blocking . we are use to not having blocking . just need the Ridge a little to the west . there is no shortage of shortwaves

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Watch that energy coming down over the upper mid-west and down to upper Plains at 240.

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goofy is close to popping a coastal around day ten . let's all remember the suppressed system the euro had between days 8-10
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is everyone running okay on the forum as of now? no posts issues, page problems? no last post issues?
 
Storm5 said:
Yeah we don't need blocking . we are use to not having blocking . just need the Ridge a little to the west . there is no shortage of shortwaves

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Don't need blocking - agree 100% - but it's nice to hold the cold in while some moisture gets involved on the back end - just thinkin' out loud here ....
 
pcbjr said:
Don't need blocking - agree 100% - but it's nice to hold the cold in while some moisture gets involved on the back end - just thinkin' out loud here ....
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no doubt phil. Would help to slow the pattern down . good news is the pna/epo combo look to hold for a while so at least the cold will keep coming I'm waves . just need to time it up with a shortwave

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Of course they do. Look at that energy.. that northern stream needs to slow.
 
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