Interesting how they cover their bases...."its possible...but its not".More good news. Chances down to 40%:
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 2 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. An elongated area of low pressure located over the central tropical
Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles southeast of the Lesser
Antilles continues to generate limited showers and thunderstorms.
Some slow development of this system is possible, and a tropical
depression could form well east of the Leeward Islands by early next
week while the low moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for
development as the system approaches the Leeward Islands Tuesday and
Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Forecaster Zelinsky/Ramos
It's a Federal agency ... no more need be said ...Interesting how they cover their bases...."its possible...but its not".
Compared to the pic up thread from last night, vastly improved.....Is it just me or is 96L looking more organized View attachment 21421
Anything else you want to tell us? Someone else likes your forecast today....HERE IS MY PROJECTED PATH... I KNOW IT MAY CHANGE BUT I LIKE TO SEE HOW CLOSE/FAR OFF I AM
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I understand this may not be nothing at all as models show, but could organization take place and have a chance at something? I notice few models wants to try something with it but not there yet.96 L is looking a bit more organized today. But, per the weak low that the model consensus has shown for a number of days forming just east of the Lesser Antilles, this isn’t a surprise. The only thing that is a surprise to me is it appears to be moving WNW quite a bit faster than model consensus from a couple of days ago had been suggesting.
I understand this may not be nothing at all as models show, but could organization take place and have a chance at something? I notice few models wants to try something with it but not there yet.
NOT AT THIS TIME GIVE IT ANOTHER DAY AND WE WILL SEEAnything else you want to tell us? Someone else likes your forecast today....
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