Figured I’d go ahead and start this since I have been cluttering the May thread, but looking like today there could be a isolated severe storm in SC before the maybe bigger day tommorow 
5/4-6 possible severe wx
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I’m not the SPC or the NWS but theres at least a small chance for severe around CLT IMO, just coverage is the question and wherever the boundary sets up, this is another boundary setup so it’s interesting
I should have said, "per SPC." Yeah, there is a chance, honestly, the SPC has been pulling out the guns at the very last minute as of late. There was no enhanced in yesterday's outlook. And a pretty good hatch for tornadoes.
They are not getting the forecast right for parts of Kansas and Missouri today. They need a 30% and hatched for wind out there. A good many 75+ gusts already and that bow is going strong. A small part of the area that bow is in is not even in a slight risk right now.
Lol. They barely have that area in a 2% tornado probability. Good gracious, maybe we should get some of the local NWS offices to assist with the SPC. They did so well, up until April. Love the SPC and the people but I really want to know what's going on in Norman these days.
Up graded most west tennessee to 5 percent tornado threat. Look for spc go enhance next update
SPC looks to have upgraded far northeast Georgia and parts of upstate South Carolina to a slight risk for this evening.
Probably relevant. Different region but it's not like the HRRR has had much success around here with the past few events either.
Yeah 0-3km cape is somewhat lacking there with meh low level lapse rates, slowing things down a bit
I agree. We'll get a break eventually. Oh wait, I forgot, it's 2020..... OOPS!
FWIW the HRRR has a pretty well defined bow crossing through far north Georgia and coming into upstate South Carolina. Could be an interesting night in those areas should this verify. This would be a little after midnight.
These boundaries are always difficult to pinpoint until they set themselves up. One example and I could very well be wrong is May 10th, 2011. Seem to recall a similar setup where storms just kept on training over the same area's. Had some wicked wind gusts and golf ball-sized hail, and almost constant lightning. Correct me if I have the day's or setup wrong.
