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Tropical 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season thread

92L look good tonight it has one of those tracks where it could end up meandering out there doing loops forever.....

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Not the ATL but she has really went nuts the last 12 hrs....currently 120mph the NHC takes her to 140 by midday Sat but landfalls her closer to 120....

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two runs in a row the GFS has a monster in the islands.....hope for their sake the GFS is doing GFS things....

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Okay. I'm getting interested. CMC also has it on the final frame of its 12z Run.

The trough dropping down from Canada on the GFS gave me chills for a second. You got the ingredients on the table to spawn some ungodly F-ing Monster. Those Warm Water Temps in the Caribbean in comparison to the recently cooled East Pacific are also pretty ominous.
 
Gfs way west this time and stalls it over Haiti essentially destroying the entire country with a stalled major dumping 20 inches of rain. While it's the long range the signal for a very serious threat has persisted for 4 or 5 runs now

Those 200-500Mb Charts are already looking more badass with each run, and the moisture is being driven towards the EC.

Now watch the GFS loose on the next run. lol
 
More fantasy range stuff on GFS, seems like the GFS likes a late Oct early Nov system been hinting at it for awhile now...

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Really these GFS runs are just terrible for the islands.....latest run mauls Jamaica as a cat 5, hammers eastern Cuba then works up the Bahamas and almost looks to be eyeing the SE at hr 342....though there is little chance it could ever pull that off this time of the year with the fronts blasting through.....
 
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