Tropical 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season & Model Discussion

[Ethan80963!]

 

[BirdManDoomW]

I can’t do another Nestor that was too much

 

[Ethan80963!]

EPS likes the idea

 

[Ethan80963!]

 

[Jessy89]

Could this pull another nester


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[Ethan80963!]

Could this pull another nester


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Looking like the same area but unless we start seeing models trending stronger looks like just a beneficial rain maker.

 

[GaWx]

Looking like the same area but unless we start seeing models trending stronger looks like just a beneficial rain maker.

Which is pretty much what Nestor was. That is great news again.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Up to 30% at 5 days. Maybe code ? this weekend?

 

[BirdManDoomW]

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1030 AM EDT WED 23 OCTOBER 2019
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z OCTOBER 2019
TCPOD NUMBER.....19-148

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE INVEST NEAR
24.0N 95.5W FOR 25/1730Z

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Well that one member doesn’t look friendly for the S/E.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

NAM: Most of the action is west of the apps. Some development poss. but note this is not a tropical model.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Code red out in the Atlantic. Another name storm maybe. Alerts out for Ireland for wind.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Code red out in the Atlantic. Another name storm maybe. Alerts out for Ireland for wind.

We got Rebekah now.

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Rebekah Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL192019
500 PM AST Wed Oct 30 2019

...SUBTROPICAL STORM REBEKAH FORMS OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.3N 40.7W
ABOUT 745 MI...1195 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES

 

[Brent]

the season won't end out there

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Looks to hit the Azores Islands. Right in the cone.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Very GFS-ish

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Code Orange in the Atlantic

 

[Shaggy]

Not the Atlantic but Josh is about to catch the eyewall of a cat 4 undergoing RI as it approaches the Philippines.

 

[smast16]

Not the Atlantic but Josh is about to catch the eyewall of a cat 4 undergoing RI as it approaches the Philippines.

You'd think Dorian would have set him straight, but nope. Probably just fueled him even more.

 

[Bryce Shelton]

You'd think Dorian would have set him straight, but nope. Probably just fueled him even more.

He has a true passion for chasing. I wish I could chase all the time.