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Tropical Major Hurricane Michael

Turkeykiller12 said:
Mexico Beach was devastated today. Ginger Zee was sheltered at the Summerhouse condos. Her Twitter and FB page shows some horrific images from the town. There are houses in the middle of hwy 98 and popular landmarks are gone. The word is that most everything beach side of hwy 98 is either heavily damaged or destroyed. These photos are from Ginger Zee's FB page. We are heartbroken tonight for a town that is so special to us.
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Thanks for sharing, just horrific....
 
snowlover91 said:
HRRR insists on a narrow band forming tomorrow with winds 75-85mph in gusts. Other models show similar just not quite as strong. This will produce a ton of problems if it verifies.
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It shows it developing those strong winds in the midlands of SC beforehand so if it verifies that will be a huge stretch of wind damage.
 
metwannabe said:
HRRR still insisting on 70+ wind gust with that baroclinic enhanced wind band on the backside tomorrow night..... what you think?
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I am thinking the local mets really dropped the ball declaring this morning that this will not be as bad as Florence here. I think a lot of folks are going to be caught off guard tomorrow.
 
I've been out of the loop for the last few hours yall. Any word on fatalities/casualties? Or on the overall scope of the damage inland? I saw something about major damage in Marianna? Obviously pretty widespread.
 
metwannabe said:
HRRR still insisting on 70+ wind gust with that baroclinic enhanced wind band on the backside tomorrow night..... what you think?
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I think we will most likely see this enhancement occur to what degree I'm not sure. Winds at 850 are likely to be in the 70kt-80kt range with 925s in the 45-65 range which makes me think that gusts of 40-45kt are a good bet. Getting above that well into the 50s and 60s I'm not sure yet. It's pretty cool though that you can see the hrrr mixing that dry air to the surface and dropping tds as it arrives around 10 degrees.

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Rapid Update Conus HD (HRRR?) showing 102mph wind gusts at 6pm in Wilmington. 60+ tomorrow morning in MBY. 70+ just 15 miles to my south :eek:

grief...we toss?
 
SD said:
I think we will most likely see this enhancement occur to what degree I'm not sure. Winds at 850 are likely to be in the 70kt-80kt range with 925s in the 45-65 range which makes me think that gusts of 40-45kt are a good bet. Getting above that well into the 50s and 60s I'm not sure yet. It's pretty cool though that you can see the hrrr mixing that dry air to the surface and dropping tds as it arrives around 10 degrees.

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NAM showing 70 mph gust as well.....
 
And just as I make that post I go back to the hrrr on another site I see 850s at 23 hr of 85-90kt. Yeah that's a problem, start transporting that downward and you are looking at widespread 60-65kt gusts with some max gusts near 75kt

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NWTENN said:
I've been out of the loop for the last few hours yall. Any word on fatalities/casualties? Or on the overall scope of the damage inland? I saw something about major damage in Marianna? Obviously pretty widespread.
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a death was confirmed earlier from a falling tree but a lot of the hardest hit areas we know nothing

and from what I've heard its really bad
 
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