Leaning towards a weak nina declining throughout the season but it should still largely behave like a nina. Jet extensions/lack of from mid December to late January likely determine the overall character. Should get a nice mid to late December ridge pump into AK, I am concerned its too far W this year and we are largely biased toward ridging with potentially some wedge action. I do think the region does hit another big one but that's always at random, hard to get through a nina without a big system somewhere in the region.