Here’s a map I made while sitting on the porcelain throne earlier. I hope it stands the test of time View attachment 17619
Just a little tweak .....This is so easy. I'm going to go ahead and issue the final product:
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I’m kind of disappointed how you nailed the I85 corridor the way you did down into MBY You fringe me perfectly and I’m upsetThis is so easy. I'm going to go ahead and issue the final product:
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Well we won't get this. I wonder who will forecast this come this fall.
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For temps I would go with something like this. It's the drive for 5...5th winter in a row of above normal temps.
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Of course he will. If he makes an above average winter map for the SE you know it'll be a great winter. But of course I already know he is going to center the cold on the east and IF we do well, he will only say his pioneer "Model" worked again like the broken clock it is.The one... and only...
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In all fairness, this winter saw some very cold temps in the US. Look at the Pacific NW over to Montana and the Dakotas. All-time records were broken for the duration of the cold and negative departures. It just wasn't the right pattern to bring that cold southward due to the pesky SER. This is something you would expect in a La-Nina winter not an El-Nino. Everything we thought we knew about LR weather forecasting was challenged this winter. I agree with Metwannabe here. I say give us another shot at an El-Nino next winter, and see what happens. One thing is for sure, the subtropical jet delivered big-time. If that southeast ridge would not have been so prominent, we would have seen some nice miller A's.Next Winter will break the above normal streak, take it to the bank.
Also I expect a mid to late December threat somewhere in the SE, northern parts favored (northern Ga, upstate SC, Tn and NC)
January will then begin with above normal temps (briefly) and there will be all kinds of gnashing of teeth and complaining of another failed Winter, but...
Mid Jan thru mid Feb will deliver big time, a brief return to normal before the end of Feb produces again. The streak will be broken and every member on this board will at some point see some form of frozen precip. Booyah, bring it, I'm ready.....
Ive never seen a more accurate forecast in my life. You could just copy paste that until the end of time and have a 75% success rateHere's my winter 2019-20 snowfall forecast for Wake County. If you live north and west of Wake, assume at least 12". If you live south and east of Wake, assume less than 1" at most.
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