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Severe Valentines Severe Threat

SD

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Tornado watch and warnings already going on for SE Texas

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Got a couple of interesting areas along the line heading right into the Houston Metro
 
This line of storms really squeezed a lot of moisture out of the atmosphere in southeastern TX, the airmass is moistening out ahead of it over Louisiana and extreme SE TX indicated by the increasing dew points...
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The environment doesn't look to shabby for a few severe thunderstorms and an isolated supercell or two tomorrow in southeast GA and north FL, biggest question wrt upgrade to a slight risk will likely be instability and/or any upscale convective growth...

Here's a 4 km NAM sounding depicting a legitimate risk for an isolated tornado or two
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Classic looking backwards C in the squall line heading towards Houston, need to watch for a brief spin-up tornado here...
A tornado warning is actually in effect for the Houston Metro right now
 
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