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Tropical TS Omar

ForsythSnow

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North Forsyth County, Georgia
Just off the coast of GA

2. Satellite and radar images indicate that an area of low pressure is
developing a couple of hundred miles east of Jacksonville, Florida.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for some additional
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the
middle of the week while the system moves northeastward or
east-northeastward, initially parallel to the southeastern coast
of the U.S. and then away from land.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
 
Looking at the latest (6z) data, Its apparent to me that the system will struggle to intensify. It looks as if there will be no ULL to form however, there seem to be a LLC later arounf 48hours, Perhaps someone could explan to me the swirl on the ulm?

gfs_uv200_atl_11.png
 

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Where’s Nana?
 
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