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Tropical TS Kyle

ForsythSnow

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Location
North Forsyth County, Georgia
This is the one headed OTS off the East coast.

1. Shower activity has increased in association with a low pressure
area located about 100 miles northeast of Cape Hatteras, North
Carolina. Some additional development is possible during the next
couple of days, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form
during that time as the system moves east-northeastward well
to the southeast of New England and to the south of the Canadian
Maritime provinces.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
 
Satellite imagery indicates that shower activity associated with the
low pressure area located about 300 miles south-southwest of
Nantucket, Massachusetts has become better organized. In addition,
recent satellite wind data show that the circulation is becoming
better defined, with winds to near gale force to the southeast of
the center. If current trends continue, a tropical depression or
tropical storm is likely to form later today or tonight.
Regardless
of development, this system is expected to move east-northeastward
well to the southeast of New England and to the south of the
Canadian Maritime provinces. Additional information can be found in
High Sea High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
 
This looks like it wants to be Kyle well ahead of 2005 still

Man when the Atlantic actually gets favorable it's gonna be nuts

Yeah just imagine what these storms can do with no shear and upper 80s SSTs. I bet we get close to 200mph sustained.


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NC has nothing to worry about and neither does SC or GA. Yes lots of storms, but the chances of a monster hitting are slim.
 
So far theres really been no storms that have truly tapped their potential and we have had a long line of strong TS and a couple crapacanes. If conditions dont improve we could see a lot of names and not much fuss.

I would be surprised though if it continued climatology says almost all major hurricanes occur after this date
 
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