• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical TS Josephine

Downeastnc said:
To be or not to be, to fish or not to fish.....these are the questions.


Dang...

View attachment 46309
Click to expand...

Another question to add: will it become a TD+ without recurving but then later dissipate over open water once it gets close to or just N of the Caribbean?

I’m leaning toward this option with a TS being designated within a couple of days before future struggles without recurving.
 
GaWx said:
Another question to add: will it become a TD+ without recurving but then later dissipate over open water once it gets close to or just N of the Caribbean?

I’m leaning toward this option with a TS being designated within a couple of days before future struggles without recurving.
Click to expand...

Yeah future looks bleak, though this could be Josephine and at least burn the J name....the HWRF kind takes it into the eastern Caribbean like Isiesis Isesias the last storm.
 
This is a tropical depression already imo. The strong, confined, nearly continuous bursting pattern over the same exact part of its larger wave envelope on infrared is a giveaway to this as a strong area of surface low pressure is generating enough PGF and surface heat fluxes to resupply moist entropy that allows new thunderstorms to immediately replace decaying predecessor convection
 
Webberweather53 said:
This is a tropical depression already imo. The strong, confined, nearly continuous bursting pattern over the same exact part of its larger wave envelope on infrared is a giveaway to this as a strong area of surface low pressure is generating enough PGF and surface heat fluxes to resupply moist entropy that allows new thunderstorms to immediately replace decaying predecessor convection
Click to expand...

Certainly has held up the last 12 hrs anyways.....hauling ass too....Euro ens also with more members showing this just NE of the islands now....
 
90% chance, looks to do it today per NHC advisories coming
 
9da6b9225d855582367fdbcd2a8bbeb33e21c921ba51ec0f069579e3b919fba8.png
 
Pretty nice flare up ongoing looks like another good Dmax starting off.....will they go Josephine at 11......I will guess no thus ensuring they do.....

josephoine.jpg
 
All curving except for CMC......staying consistent.....Appears HWRF may stray from the pack too....

FB_IMG_1597233180418.jpg
 
Looking rough over night.....finally got a decent flare up started in the last hr that might put it back on track...
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top