lexxnchloe
Member
This season has been like if all the experts had predicted a bitter cold winter with temps 8 below normal and it ended up 8 degrees above normal.
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Tropical TS Earl
- Thread starter Brent
- Start date
smast16
Member
00Z says in 10 days, we might still be waiting for Genesis.
Taylor C
Member
Today’s 12z run of the CMC and NAVGEM are more like the EURO with the slower development and further west solution.
Henry2326
Member
Shaggy
Member
And none based of an official LLC center to initialize on.
Henry2326
Member
The key to it all. And some still headed west.
NHC st 60% development in 48 hours and 80% in 5 days.
Attachments
Henry2326
Member
The crazy uncle wants a NE hit.
Henry2326
Member
Even a blind squirrel finds a nut once in a while....lol
Shaggy
Member
seems a smaller circulation between 17-18N and 53-54 west is fading and we are seeing a much larger far more broad circulation maintaining to the SW.
Probably a miss but umm this thing ain't over just yet. Definitely need to keep an eye on it next few days
lexxnchloe
Member
Huge difference between the Euro CMC and the GFS. Based on how wrong the GFS was about the GOM monster then maybe this might be more accurate. At least its something to watch.Probably a miss but umm this thing ain't over just yet. Definitely need to keep an eye on it next few days
What is it about virtually every model at the end of it's range that likes to have hurricanes threatening the east coast?Probably a miss but umm this thing ain't over just yet. Definitely need to keep an eye on it next few days
Henry2326
Member
Might be a early indicator......Euro and CMC switching it up at the same time.Probably a miss but umm this thing ain't over just yet. Definitely need to keep an eye on it next few days
On the bright side both the cmc and euro would still be ots even with their looks. Would have to have a change in the cutoff timing or it to much farther west by d7 to be a landfall
Shaggy
Member
well that northern circulation has fired up new storms so that may become the more dominate feature so who knows!
Henry2326
Member
Shaggy
Member
looking much improved tonight
Euro never really develops it now but gets very weak system just off coast before getting absorbed or kicked out by the incoming trough
Either way looks like all models keep whatever there is ots
Either way looks like all models keep whatever there is ots
Euro probably right. You can see the llc run out front the deep convection, although some firing near it now, but this thing still a mess
