Tropical Hurricane Isaias

[Bannerdude]

Some convection bubbling up north of the LLC. Let's see if it can hang on.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Does anyone have Eps tracks

 

[BirdManDoomW]

What not to post when Emergency management is doing evacuations

 

[NCSNOW]

Good for Brad P. Call it like you see it. Way it should be.

 

[Tornadocane]

Just came back from Dania Beach after that first band moved onshore. 40-60 MPH winds and heavy rain. Everyone saw the band approaching a half mile off the coast and started running for their cars. I stuck around for about 45 minutes. When I left, traffic off the barrier island was backed up at the draw bridge. People are still running along the beach.

 

[Rain Cold]

Good for Brad P. Call it like you see it. Way it should be.

Yeah I got no problem with it. It's not like he even remotely suggested not heeding the warnings of emergency officials.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Here are the 12z EPS ensemble tracks.

 

[Shaggy]

Here are the 12z EPS ensemble tracks.View attachment 45744

Notice no more hurricane members. I think there were 2 or 3 this morning

 

[Brent]

Good for Brad P. Call it like you see it. Way it should be.

I mean he's not wrong it is pretty obvious today

Maybe it wasn't the best word to use but sometimes you have to lol

 

[blueheronNC]

Well pathetic or not flash flooding etc not to mention it could restrengthen I think a better choice of words could have been used

Jim Cantore played the pr game a lot better -

“Jim Cantore
@JimCantore
·
34m
#Isaias looks pathetic, but not going to give up on it maybe ramping up again post it’s brush w/Florida and b4 a potential landfall in NC. Shear & dry air are our friends forever when properly injected into tropical systems. Remember we are not in the heart of the season...yet.”

 

[Downeastnc]

The tracks right on the coast will keep winds down W of the center and the storm will be pretty lopsided ( assuming it makes it through the night lol) and a lot of these wind maps are very generous given the modeled tracks...the Ukie and HMON 12Z tracks are the ones to watch out for at least up NC way for a big widespread wind event....that last 12-24 hrs will be painfully long especially if the storm is doing crazy stuff.....

 

[Shaggy]

I know it's the nam but its noticeably east at 45hrs and stronger.

Also seems the center jogged a bit north as if it felt that flare up.

 

[Metwannabe]

It does have a nice little blow up of convection on north side of the center, but man you can see the tops getting blown off those thunderstorms, especially over Fl. So still dealing with decent shear.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Good for Brad P. Call it like you see it. Way it should be.

He’s good at that especially in the winter. Downplays a storm until he sees it actually occurring out his window, that’s not forecasting. At all.

 

[SD]

Guys if you want to poop on mets go to their social media. You never know who actually visits the site. Thanks

 

[Brent]

TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020
2100 UTC SAT AUG 01 2020

Still forecast to go back to 75 mph

 

[Metwannabe]

Guys if you want to poop on mets go to their social media. You never know who actually visits the site. Thanks

Great point, all those post should've been deleted probably.... maybe the members will do the right thing and delete them so I don't have to.

 

[Shaggy]

It does have a nice little blow up of convection on north side of the center, but man you can see the tops getting blown off those thunderstorms, especially over Fl. So still dealing with decent shear.

Flare up still holding on and we need it to expand or wrap some. Had to tell but looks slightly more NNW last couple frames.

 

[Shaggy]

Icon so far is a touch SW of 12z still offshore but also 6mb stronger

 

[blueheronNC]

18z NAM 984mb McClellanville, SC landfall